Espanyol

3 - 2

Alaves

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 44.4%. A draw had a probability of 30.3% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 25.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.5%) and 2-1 (7.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.79%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Espanyol would win this match.