Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 47.79%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 22.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.35%) and 2-1 (8.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.98%), while for a Espanyol win it was 0-1 (10.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Real Valladolid in this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Valladolid | Draw | Espanyol |
| 47.79% ( | 29.26% ( | 22.95% ( |
| Both teams to score 38.79% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 33.45% ( | 66.55% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.04% ( | 84.96% ( |
| Real Valladolid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.71% ( | 28.29% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.98% ( | 64.02% ( |
| Espanyol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.1% ( | 45.9% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.36% ( | 81.64% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Valladolid | Draw | Espanyol |
| 1-0 @ 16.39% ( 2-0 @ 10.35% ( 2-1 @ 8.06% ( 3-0 @ 4.36% ( 3-1 @ 3.39% ( 4-0 @ 1.38% ( 3-2 @ 1.32% ( 4-1 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 1.47% Total : 47.79% | 0-0 @ 12.98% ( 1-1 @ 12.76% ( 2-2 @ 3.14% ( Other @ 0.37% Total : 29.24% | 0-1 @ 10.11% ( 1-2 @ 4.97% ( 0-2 @ 3.94% ( 1-3 @ 1.29% ( 0-3 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 1.61% Total : 22.95% |