Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 42.33%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 30.27% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 0-1 (9.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Villarreal in this match.
| Result | ||
| Espanyol | Draw | Villarreal | 
| 42.33% (  0.65) | 27.4% (  0.15) | 30.27% (  -0.81) | 
| Both teams to score 48.35% (  -0.77) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 43.02% (  -0.83) | 56.98% (  0.82) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 22.12% (  -0.67) | 77.88% (  0.66) | 
| Espanyol Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 73.4% (  -0.04) | 26.59% (  0.03) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.18% (  -0.05) | 61.82% (  0.04) | 
| Villarreal Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 65.87% (  -1.02) | 34.12% (  1.02) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.19% (  -1.11) | 70.81% (  1.11) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Espanyol | Draw | Villarreal | 
| 1-0 @ 12.02% (  0.37) 2-1 @ 8.56% (  0.02) 2-0 @ 7.96% (  0.23) 3-1 @ 3.78% (  0) 3-0 @ 3.51% (  0.1) 3-2 @ 2.03% (  -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.25% 4-0 @ 1.16% (  0.03) Other @ 2.05% Total : 42.33% | 1-1 @ 12.92% (  0.04) 0-0 @ 9.08% (  0.28) 2-2 @ 4.6% (  -0.12) Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.39% | 0-1 @ 9.76% (  0.04) 1-2 @ 6.95% (  -0.18) 0-2 @ 5.25% (  -0.13) 1-3 @ 2.49% (  -0.14) 0-3 @ 1.88% (  -0.1) 2-3 @ 1.65% (  -0.09) Other @ 2.3% Total : 30.27% |