

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 36.68%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 36.17% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.01%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 0-1 (10.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Valencia | Draw | Villarreal | 
| 36.68% (  0.06) | 27.15% (  0.03) | 36.17% (  -0.09) | 
| Both teams to score 50.43% (  -0.09) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 45.02% (  -0.12) | 54.98% (  0.12) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 23.75% (  -0.1) | 76.25% (  0.1) | 
| Valencia Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 71.17% (  -0.02) | 28.83% (  0.02) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.31% (  -0.03) | 64.69% (  0.03) | 
| Villarreal Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 70.86% (  -0.11) | 29.14% (  0.11) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.93% (  -0.13) | 65.07% (  0.14) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Valencia | Draw | Villarreal | 
| 1-0 @ 10.44% (  0.04) 2-1 @ 8.01% (  0) 2-0 @ 6.5% (  0.02) 3-1 @ 3.32% (  -0) 3-0 @ 2.69% (  0.01) 3-2 @ 2.05% (  -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.03% (  -0) Other @ 2.62% Total : 36.67% | 1-1 @ 12.88% (  0.01) 0-0 @ 8.4% (  0.04) 2-2 @ 4.94% (  -0.01) Other @ 0.93% Total : 27.15% | 0-1 @ 10.35% (  0.01) 1-2 @ 7.94% (  -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.39% (  -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.27% (  -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.63% (  -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.03% (  -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.01% (  -0.01) Other @ 2.55% Total : 36.16% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Barcelona | 38 | 28 | 4 | 6 | 102 | 39 | 63 | 88 | 
| 2 | Real Madrid | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 78 | 38 | 40 | 84 | 
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 38 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 68 | 30 | 38 | 76 | 
| 4 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 54 | 29 | 25 | 70 | 
| 5 | Villarreal | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 71 | 51 | 20 | 70 | 
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 57 | 50 | 7 | 60 | 
| 7 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 16 | 7 | 15 | 59 | 57 | 2 | 55 | 
| 8 | Osasuna | 38 | 12 | 16 | 10 | 48 | 52 | -4 | 52 | 
| 9 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 52 | 
| 10 | Mallorca | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 48 | 
| 11 | Valencia | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 44 | 54 | -10 | 46 | 
| 12 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 35 | 46 | -11 | 46 | 
| 13 | Getafe | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 42 | 
| 14 | AlavesAlaves | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 38 | 48 | -10 | 42 | 
| 15 | Espanyol | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 42 | 
| 16 | Sevilla | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 41 | 
| 17 | GironaGirona | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 44 | 60 | -16 | 41 | 
| 18 | Leganes | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 39 | 56 | -17 | 40 | 
| R | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 38 | 8 | 8 | 22 | 40 | 61 | -21 | 32 | 
| R | Real ValladolidValladolid | 38 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 26 | 90 | -64 | 16 | 
| > La Liga Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
