

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 42.95%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 31.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 0-1 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Osasuna | Draw | Villarreal | 
| 42.95% (  1.08) | 25.14% (  -0.41) | 31.9% (  -0.66) | 
| Both teams to score 56.11% (  1.13) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 52.7% (  1.58) | 47.3% (  -1.57) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 30.47% (  1.44) | 69.52% (  -1.45) | 
| Osasuna Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 78% (  1.2) | 21.99% (  -1.2) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.7% (  1.78) | 55.3% (  -1.78) | 
| Villarreal Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 71.94% (  0.34) | 28.06% (  -0.34) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.28% (  0.44) | 63.72% (  -0.44) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Osasuna | Draw | Villarreal | 
| 1-0 @ 9.35% (  -0.28) 2-1 @ 8.99% (  0.14) 2-0 @ 7.08% (  0.04) 3-1 @ 4.54% (  0.23) 3-0 @ 3.57% (  0.15) 3-2 @ 2.89% (  0.17) 4-1 @ 1.72% (  0.14) 4-0 @ 1.35% (  0.1) 4-2 @ 1.09% (  0.1) Other @ 2.37% Total : 42.95% | 1-1 @ 11.87% (  -0.24) 0-0 @ 6.17% (  -0.42) 2-2 @ 5.71% (  0.14) 3-3 @ 1.22% (  0.08) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.14% | 0-1 @ 7.84% (  -0.45) 1-2 @ 7.55% (  -0.08) 0-2 @ 4.98% (  -0.23) 1-3 @ 3.2% (  -0) 2-3 @ 2.42% (  0.08) 0-3 @ 2.11% (  -0.08) 1-4 @ 1.02% (  0.01) Other @ 2.79% Total : 31.9% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Real Madrid | 38 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 87 | 26 | 61 | 95 | 
| 2 | Barcelona | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 79 | 44 | 35 | 85 | 
| 3 | GironaGirona | 38 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 85 | 46 | 39 | 81 | 
| 4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 38 | 24 | 4 | 10 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 76 | 
| 5 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 68 | 
| 6 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 60 | 
| 7 | Real BetisBetis | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 57 | 
| 8 | Villarreal | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 65 | 65 | 0 | 53 | 
| 9 | Valencia | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 49 | 
| 10 | AlavesAlaves | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 46 | 
| 11 | Osasuna | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 45 | 56 | -11 | 45 | 
| 12 | Getafe | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 43 | 
| 13 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 46 | 57 | -11 | 41 | 
| 14 | Sevilla | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 41 | 
| 15 | Mallorca | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 40 | 
| 16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 40 | 
| 17 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 38 | 
| R | CadizCadiz | 38 | 6 | 15 | 17 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 33 | 
| R | Almeria | 38 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 21 | 
| R | Granada | 38 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 38 | 79 | -41 | 21 | 
| > La Liga Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
