La Liga | Gameweek 33
Apr 28, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio de la Ceramica
Villarreal3 - 0Rayo Vallecano
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Almeria 1-2 Villarreal
Sunday, April 21 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Sunday, April 21 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 2-1 Osasuna
Saturday, April 20 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Saturday, April 20 at 3.15pm in La Liga
We said: Villarreal 2-1 Rayo Vallecano
Villarreal's recent form has been impressive, and the Yellow Submarine still have an outside chance of claiming a European spot this season. Rayo will be in a confident mood heading into the contest, and we are backing the visitors to score, but Villarreal should be able to navigate their way to an important three points. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 51.39%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 24.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (8.91%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Villarreal | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
51.39% ( 0.26) | 24.18% ( -0.11) | 24.43% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 53.83% ( 0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
