Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	6	6	15
2	Uruguay	6	8	13
3	Colombia	6	3	12
4	Ecuador	6	2	11
5	Venezuela	6	3	9
6	Brazil	6	1	7
7	Paraguay	6	-2	5
8	Chile	6	-4	5
9	Bolivia	6	-10	3
10	Peru	6	-7	2

Ecuador

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Ecuador 0-2 Italy
Sunday, March 24 at 8pm in International Friendlies

Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	6	6	15
2	Uruguay	6	8	13
3	Colombia	6	3	12
4	Ecuador	6	2	11
5	Venezuela	6	3	9
6	Brazil	6	1	7
7	Paraguay	6	-2	5
8	Chile	6	-4	5
9	Bolivia	6	-10	3
10	Peru	6	-7	2

We said: Argentina 2-1 Ecuador

Although Argentina are set to name an untried lineup, their starting XI will still boast an array of talent, and we think that they will ultimately do enough to edge out Ecuador to claim a fourth consecutive victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 67.56%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Ecuador had a probability of 12.22%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.47%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.51%), while for a Ecuador win it was 0-1 (4.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Argentina in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Argentina.

Result
Argentina	Draw	Ecuador
67.56% ( -0.02)	20.22% ( 0.01)	12.22% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 43.26% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.01% (

49.98% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.03% (

71.97% (

-0)

Argentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.15% (

-0)

13.85% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.78% (

-0.01)

41.22% (

0.01)

Ecuador Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.21% (

0.02)

49.78% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.49% (

0.02)

84.51% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Argentina 67.55%

Ecuador 12.22%

Draw 20.22%

Argentina	Draw	Ecuador
1-0 @ 13.62% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 13.47% 2-1 @ 9.4% ( 0) 3-0 @ 8.88% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.19% 4-0 @ 4.39% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.06% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.16% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.74% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.21% 4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0) Other @ 2.36% Total : 67.55%	1-1 @ 9.51% ( 0) 0-0 @ 6.89% 2-2 @ 3.28% ( 0) Other @ 0.55% Total : 20.22%	0-1 @ 4.81% ( 0) 1-2 @ 3.32% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.68% ( 0) Other @ 2.42% Total : 12.22%