La Liga | Gameweek 34
May 5, 2024 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio de Balaidos
Celta Vigo3 - 2Villarreal
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Alaves 3-0 Celta Vigo
Saturday, April 27 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Saturday, April 27 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Villarreal 3-0 Rayo Vallecano
Sunday, April 28 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Sunday, April 28 at 5.30pm in La Liga
We said: Celta Vigo 1-2 Villarreal
Villarreal are in a strong run of form, and although Celta are battling for their lives, we are predicting a narrow away victory here, which would strengthen Villarreal's hopes of a European finish this term. Alexander Sorloth has scored nine times in his last eight league appearances and could be the difference between the two sides in this contest. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 49.02%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 26.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 0-1 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celta Vigo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Celta Vigo | Draw | Villarreal |
49.02% ( -0.29) | 24.58% ( -0.14) | 26.4% ( 0.42) |
| Both teams to score 54.45% ( 0.82) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
