Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 49.5%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Las Palmas had a probability of 24.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.36%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a Las Palmas win it was 0-1 (8.03%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celta Vigo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Celta Vigo | Draw | Las Palmas | 
| 49.5% (  0.35) | 25.78% (  -0.01) | 24.72% (  -0.34) | 
| Both teams to score 49.24% (  -0.31) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 46.02% (  -0.25) | 53.97% (  0.24) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 24.58% (  -0.21) | 75.42% (  0.2) | 
| Celta Vigo Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 78.16% (  0.05) | 21.83% (  -0.05) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.94% (  0.08) | 55.05% (  -0.08) | 
| Las Palmas Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 62.99% (  -0.44) | 37% (  0.43) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.21% (  -0.44) | 73.79% (  0.43) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Celta Vigo | Draw | Las Palmas | 
| 1-0 @ 12.29% (  0.14) 2-0 @ 9.36% (  0.12) 2-1 @ 9.3% (  0.01) 3-0 @ 4.75% (  0.07) 3-1 @ 4.72% (  0.01) 3-2 @ 2.35% (  -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.81% (  0.03) 4-1 @ 1.8% (  0.01) Other @ 3.14% Total : 49.5% | 1-1 @ 12.22% (  -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.08% (  0.08) 2-2 @ 4.62% (  -0.05) Other @ 0.85% Total : 25.78% | 0-1 @ 8.03% (  -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.08% (  -0.08) 0-2 @ 3.99% (  -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.01% (  -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.53% (  -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.32% (  -0.04) Other @ 1.75% Total : 24.72% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Barcelona | 29 | 21 | 3 | 5 | 82 | 28 | 54 | 66 | 
| 2 | Real Madrid | 29 | 19 | 6 | 4 | 62 | 29 | 33 | 63 | 
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 29 | 16 | 9 | 4 | 47 | 23 | 24 | 57 | 
| 4 | Athletic Bilbao | 29 | 14 | 11 | 4 | 46 | 24 | 22 | 53 | 
| 5 | Villarreal | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 47 | 
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 47 | 
| 7 | Rayo Vallecano | 29 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 40 | 
| 8 | Mallorca | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 40 | 
| 9 | Celta Vigo | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 41 | 41 | 0 | 39 | 
| 10 | Real Sociedad | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 38 | 
| 11 | Getafe | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 36 | 
| 12 | Sevilla | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 36 | 
| 13 | GironaGirona | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 37 | 45 | -8 | 34 | 
| 14 | Osasuna | 29 | 7 | 13 | 9 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 34 | 
| 15 | Valencia | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 31 | 
| 16 | Espanyol | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 29 | 
| 17 | AlavesAlaves | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 32 | 44 | -12 | 27 | 
| 18 | Leganes | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 28 | 46 | -18 | 27 | 
| 19 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 32 | 47 | -15 | 25 | 
| 20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 29 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 19 | 65 | -46 | 16 | 
| > La Liga Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
