La Liga | Gameweek 8
Oct 2, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio de Gran Canaria
Las Palmas2 - 1Celta Vigo
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Real Madrid 2-0 Las Palmas
Wednesday, September 27 at 6pm in La Liga
Wednesday, September 27 at 6pm in La Liga
Last Game: Celta Vigo 1-1 Alaves
Thursday, September 28 at 6pm in La Liga
Thursday, September 28 at 6pm in La Liga
We said: Las Palmas 0-0 Celta Vigo
Las Palmas have found it so difficult to score this season, but they have been very strong defensively, so we are not expecting this to be a classic. Celta need a result to kickstart their campaign, but we are finding it difficult to separate the two sides in this contest. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 43.9%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 29.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 0-1 (9.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Las Palmas would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Las Palmas | Draw | Celta Vigo |
43.9% ( 0.36) | 26.75% ( 0.23) | 29.35% ( -0.59) |
| Both teams to score 49.8% ( -0.99) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
