

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 40.01%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 32.5% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (7.39%). The likeliest Valencia win was 1-0 (10.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Valencia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Valencia | Draw | Las Palmas | 
| 32.5% (  -0.92) | 27.49% (  -0.3) | 40.01% (  1.22) | 
| Both teams to score 48.85% (  0.67) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 43.28% (  0.95) | 56.72% (  -0.95) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 22.33% (  0.76) | 77.67% (  -0.75) | 
| Valencia Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 67.61% (  -0.14) | 32.39% (  0.15) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.09% (  -0.16) | 68.91% (  0.16) | 
| Las Palmas Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 72.26% (  1.15) | 27.73% (  -1.15) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.69% (  1.45) | 63.3% (  -1.45) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Valencia | Draw | Las Palmas | 
| 1-0 @ 10.12% (  -0.42) 2-1 @ 7.32% (  -0.09) 2-0 @ 5.71% (  -0.26) 3-1 @ 2.75% (  -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.15% (  -0.11) 3-2 @ 1.76% (  0.03) Other @ 2.68% Total : 32.49% | 1-1 @ 12.98% (  -0.11) 0-0 @ 8.98% (  -0.33) 2-2 @ 4.69% (  0.09) Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.48% | 0-1 @ 11.52% (  -0.04) 1-2 @ 8.33% (  0.2) 0-2 @ 7.39% (  0.21) 1-3 @ 3.56% (  0.2) 0-3 @ 3.16% (  0.18) 2-3 @ 2.01% (  0.1) 1-4 @ 1.14% (  0.1) 0-4 @ 1.01% (  0.09) Other @ 1.89% Total : 40.01% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Real Madrid | 38 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 87 | 26 | 61 | 95 | 
| 2 | Barcelona | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 79 | 44 | 35 | 85 | 
| 3 | GironaGirona | 38 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 85 | 46 | 39 | 81 | 
| 4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 38 | 24 | 4 | 10 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 76 | 
| 5 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 68 | 
| 6 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 60 | 
| 7 | Real BetisBetis | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 57 | 
| 8 | Villarreal | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 65 | 65 | 0 | 53 | 
| 9 | Valencia | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 49 | 
| 10 | AlavesAlaves | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 46 | 
| 11 | Osasuna | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 45 | 56 | -11 | 45 | 
| 12 | Getafe | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 43 | 
| 13 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 46 | 57 | -11 | 41 | 
| 14 | Sevilla | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 41 | 
| 15 | Mallorca | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 40 | 
| 16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 40 | 
| 17 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 38 | 
| R | CadizCadiz | 38 | 6 | 15 | 17 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 33 | 
| R | Almeria | 38 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 21 | 
| R | Granada | 38 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 38 | 79 | -41 | 21 | 
| > La Liga Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
