Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 48.92%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 24.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.8%) and 2-1 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.56%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 0-1 (8.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Celta Vigo |
| 48.92% ( | 26.95% ( | 24.14% ( |
| Both teams to score 45.46% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.38% ( | 58.62% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.82% ( | 79.18% ( |
| Real Sociedad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.93% ( | 24.08% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.64% ( | 58.36% ( |
| Celta Vigo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.87% ( | 40.13% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 23.23% ( | 76.77% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Celta Vigo |
| 1-0 @ 13.75% ( 2-0 @ 9.8% ( 2-1 @ 8.94% ( 3-0 @ 4.65% ( 3-1 @ 4.25% ( 3-2 @ 1.94% ( 4-0 @ 1.66% ( 4-1 @ 1.51% ( Other @ 2.42% Total : 48.91% | 1-1 @ 12.56% ( 0-0 @ 9.66% ( 2-2 @ 4.08% ( Other @ 0.64% Total : 26.94% | 0-1 @ 8.82% ( 1-2 @ 5.74% ( 0-2 @ 4.03% ( 1-3 @ 1.75% ( 2-3 @ 1.24% ( 0-3 @ 1.23% ( Other @ 1.34% Total : 24.14% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Barcelona | 35 | 26 | 4 | 5 | 95 | 36 | 59 | 82 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 35 | 23 | 6 | 6 | 72 | 37 | 35 | 75 |
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 35 | 20 | 10 | 5 | 60 | 27 | 33 | 70 |
| 4 | Athletic Bilbao | 35 | 17 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 26 | 25 | 64 |
| 5 | Villarreal | 35 | 17 | 10 | 8 | 61 | 47 | 14 | 61 |
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 35 | 16 | 10 | 9 | 53 | 43 | 10 | 58 |
| 7 | Celta Vigo | 36 | 15 | 7 | 14 | 56 | 54 | 2 | 52 |
| 8 | Rayo Vallecano | 35 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 47 |
| 9 | Mallorca | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 47 |
| 10 | Osasuna | 35 | 10 | 15 | 10 | 43 | 51 | -8 | 45 |
| 11 | Valencia | 35 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 43 | 51 | -8 | 45 |
| 12 | Real Sociedad | 36 | 12 | 7 | 17 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 43 |
| 13 | Sevilla | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 41 |
| 14 | GironaGirona | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 42 | 53 | -11 | 41 |
| 15 | Getafe | 35 | 10 | 9 | 16 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 39 |
| 16 | Espanyol | 35 | 10 | 9 | 16 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 39 |
| 17 | AlavesAlaves | 35 | 8 | 11 | 16 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 35 |
| 18 | Leganes | 35 | 7 | 13 | 15 | 35 | 53 | -18 | 34 |
| 19 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 40 | 58 | -18 | 32 |
| R | Real ValladolidValladolid | 36 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 26 | 86 | -60 | 16 |
| > La Liga Full Table | |||||||||
