Almeria's home form this season has been excellent, but they are a different team on the road, and Real Sociedad will fancy their chances of securing all three points here. We are expecting a close game in terms of the scoreline, but Alguacil's side should have enough quality to secure the victory.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 72.38%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 10.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.57%) and 3-0 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.26%), while for an Almeria win it was 0-1 (3.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.
0.23) 
-0.13) 
