Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 46.99%. A win for Girona had a probability of 26.83% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (8.76%). The likeliest Girona win was 0-1 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Girona |
| 46.99% ( | 26.18% ( | 26.83% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.86% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.94% ( | 54.06% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.51% ( | 75.49% ( |
| Real Sociedad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77% ( | 22.99% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.21% ( | 56.79% ( |
| Girona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.75% ( | 35.25% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.99% ( | 72% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Girona |
| 1-0 @ 11.91% ( 2-1 @ 9.13% ( 2-0 @ 8.76% ( 3-1 @ 4.47% ( 3-0 @ 4.29% ( 3-2 @ 2.33% ( 4-1 @ 1.64% ( 4-0 @ 1.58% ( Other @ 2.87% Total : 46.98% | 1-1 @ 12.42% ( 0-0 @ 8.11% ( 2-2 @ 4.76% ( Other @ 0.89% Total : 26.18% | 0-1 @ 8.45% ( 1-2 @ 6.48% ( 0-2 @ 4.41% ( 1-3 @ 2.25% ( 2-3 @ 1.66% ( 0-3 @ 1.53% ( Other @ 2.05% Total : 26.83% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Barcelona | 37 | 27 | 4 | 6 | 99 | 39 | 60 | 85 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 37 | 25 | 6 | 6 | 76 | 38 | 38 | 81 |
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 21 | 10 | 6 | 64 | 30 | 34 | 73 |
| 4 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 19 | 13 | 5 | 54 | 26 | 28 | 70 |
| 5 | Villarreal | 37 | 19 | 10 | 8 | 67 | 49 | 18 | 67 |
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 16 | 11 | 10 | 56 | 49 | 7 | 59 |
| 7 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 15 | 7 | 15 | 57 | 56 | 1 | 52 |
| 8 | Osasuna | 37 | 12 | 15 | 10 | 47 | 51 | -4 | 51 |
| 9 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 51 |
| 10 | Mallorca | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 47 |
| 11 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 13 | 7 | 17 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 46 |
| 12 | Valencia | 37 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 43 | 53 | -10 | 45 |
| 13 | Getafe | 37 | 11 | 9 | 17 | 33 | 37 | -4 | 42 |
| 14 | AlavesAlaves | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 41 |
| 15 | Sevilla | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 41 |
| 16 | GironaGirona | 37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 41 |
| 17 | Espanyol | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 39 |
| 18 | Leganes | 37 | 8 | 13 | 16 | 36 | 56 | -20 | 37 |
| R | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 37 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 40 | 59 | -19 | 32 |
| R | Real ValladolidValladolid | 37 | 4 | 4 | 29 | 26 | 87 | -61 | 16 |
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