Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 40.76%. A win for Girona had a probability of 34.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.32%). The likeliest Girona win was 2-1 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Villarreal in this match.