MX23RW : Wednesday, May 14 02:36:31| >> :120:43451:43451:
Milan logo
Coppa Italia | Final
May 14, 2025 at 8pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Bologna logo

AC Milan
vs.
Bologna

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Coppa Italia final between AC Milan and Bologna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AC Milan 3-1 Bologna
Friday, May 9 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: AC Milan 3-1 Bologna
Friday, May 9 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We say: AC Milan 2-1 Bologna (after extra time)

Italy's top comeback kings will lock horns again, as Milan have now earned 22 points from losing positions this season - including three when these teams met on Friday - while Bologna have battled back to gain 18. So, there could be several twists and turns in the 'Eternal City', where it might take extra time to split two teams that sit side-by-side in Serie A. The Rossoneri are in better form than their Rossoblu rivals, and with their trophy-winning know-how, they can lift the Coppa Italia for just a second time this century. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a AC Milan win with a probability of 42.08%. A win for Bologna has a probability of 32.12% and a draw has a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Bologna win is 0-1 (8.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.25%).

Result
AC MilanDrawBologna
42.08% (0.662 0.66) 25.79% (-0.112 -0.11) 32.12% (-0.555 -0.56)
Both teams to score 54.05% (0.171 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.98% (0.308 0.31)50.02% (-0.311 -0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28% (0.275 0.27)72% (-0.277 -0.28)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.41% (0.46700000000001 0.47)23.59% (-0.47 -0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.33% (0.67 0.67)57.66% (-0.673 -0.67)
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.73% (-0.212 -0.21)29.26% (0.208 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.77% (-0.259 -0.26)65.22% (0.256 0.26)
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 42.08%
    Bologna 32.12%
    Draw 25.79%
AC MilanDrawBologna
1-0 @ 9.97% (0.012 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.85% (0.08 0.08)
2-0 @ 7.2% (0.106 0.11)
3-1 @ 4.26% (0.096 0.1)
3-0 @ 3.47% (0.098 0.1)
3-2 @ 2.62% (0.044 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.54% (0.055 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.25% (0.052 0.05)
4-2 @ 0.95% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 42.08%
1-1 @ 12.25% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 6.9% (-0.088 -0.09)
2-2 @ 5.44% (0.019 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.07% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.79%
0-1 @ 8.48% (-0.157 -0.16)
1-2 @ 7.53% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
0-2 @ 5.21% (-0.127 -0.13)
1-3 @ 3.08% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.23% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.14% (-0.065 -0.07)
1-4 @ 0.95% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 32.12%

Who will win Wednesday's Coppa Italia clash between AC Milan and Bologna?

AC Milan
Draw
Bologna
AC Milan
81.8%
Draw
12.1%
Bologna
6.1%
33
Head to Head
May 9, 2025 7.45pm
Gameweek 36
AC Milan
3-1
Bologna
Gimenez (73', 90+2'), Pulisic (79')
Loftus-Cheek (60'), Felix (67')
Orsolini (49')
Lucumi (37'), Castro (90+1')
Feb 27, 2025 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Bologna
2-1
AC Milan
Castro (48'), Ndoye (82')
Casale (53')
Leao (43')
Hernandez (47'), Thiaw (54')
Jan 27, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 22
AC Milan
2-2
Bologna
Loftus-Cheek (45', 83')
Leao (22'), Calabria (36'), Adli (44'), Loftus-Cheek (45+2'), Terracciano (90+1')
Zirkzee (29'), Orsolini (90+2' pen.)
Calafiori (2'), Ferguson (39'), Urbanski (57')
Motta (41')
Aug 21, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Bologna
0-2
AC Milan

Aebischer (30'), Zirkzee (77')
Giroud (11'), Pulisic (21')
Hernandez (51'), Krunic (76')
Apr 15, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 30
Bologna
1-1
AC Milan
Sansone (1')
Pobega (40')
rhs 2.0
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