Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 32

Apr 11, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Dacia Arena

Udinese
0 - 4
AC Milan

Bijol (74')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Leao (42'), Pavlovic (45'), Hernandez (74'), Reijnders (81')
Terracciano (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Udinese and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Udinese

All competitions

Last Game: Genoa 1-0 Udinese
Friday, April 4 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

AC Milan

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: AC Milan 2-2 Fiorentina
Saturday, April 5 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 43.23%. A win for Udinese had a probability of 31.59% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.02%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Udinese win was 1-0 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
Udinese	Draw	AC Milan
31.59% ( 0.39)	25.17% ( -0.03)	43.23% ( -0.36)

Both teams to score 55.9% (

0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.47% (

0.3)

47.52% (

-0.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.27% (

0.27)

69.73% (

-0.28)

Udinese Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.63% (

0.41)

28.37% (

-0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.88% (

0.51)

64.11% (

-0.51)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.04% (

-0.04)

21.96% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.75% (

-0.06)

55.24% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Udinese 31.59%

AC Milan 43.23%

Draw 25.16%

Udinese	Draw	AC Milan
1-0 @ 7.85% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.49% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 4.94% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.15% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.39% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 2.08% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 0.99% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.71% Total : 31.59%	1-1 @ 11.89% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.23% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.68% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.16%	0-1 @ 9.44% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 9.02% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 7.16% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 4.56% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.62% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.87% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.73% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.37% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.38% Total : 43.23%