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Serie A | Gameweek 29
Mar 15, 2025 at 5pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

AC Milan
2 - 1
Como

Pulisic (53'), Reijnders (75')
Bondo (10'), Musah (48'), Jimenez (79'), Conceicao (82')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Da Cunha (33')
Perrone (68'), Espeto (79'), Paz (90')
Alli (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Como, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lecce 2-3 AC Milan
Saturday, March 8 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Como 1-1 Venezia
Saturday, March 8 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: AC Milan 2-1 Como

Although Como have proven to be tricky opponents on home turf, they have recorded just one win from their last 10 away fixtures. Under the bright lights of San Siro, it remains to be seen whether the Lariani can produce their very best, so Milan may lean on their greater experience to pick up maximum points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 60.73%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Como had a probability of 18.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.78%) and 1-0 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.82%), while for a Como win it was 1-2 (5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for AC Milan in this match.

Result
AC MilanDrawComo
60.73% (-0.555 -0.56) 20.97% (0.213 0.21) 18.3% (0.343 0.34)
Both teams to score 55.44% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.68% (-0.402 -0.4)41.32% (0.403 0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.28% (-0.409 -0.41)63.72% (0.41 0.41)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.83% (-0.288 -0.29)13.17% (0.289 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.13% (-0.59 -0.59)39.87% (0.591 0.59)
Como Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.85% (0.145 0.15)36.15% (-0.143 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.07% (0.145 0.15)72.93% (-0.145 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 60.73%
    Como 18.3%
    Draw 20.97%
AC MilanDrawComo
2-1 @ 9.95% (0.0040000000000013 0)
2-0 @ 9.78% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
1-0 @ 9.65% (0.071 0.07)
3-1 @ 6.73% (-0.071 -0.07)
3-0 @ 6.61% (-0.097 -0.1)
3-2 @ 3.42% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.41% (-0.074 -0.07)
4-0 @ 3.35% (-0.086 -0.09)
4-2 @ 1.74% (-0.03 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.38% (-0.046 -0.05)
5-0 @ 1.36% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 60.73%
1-1 @ 9.82% (0.11 0.11)
2-2 @ 5.07% (0.022 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.76% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.16% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 20.97%
1-2 @ 5% (0.075 0.08)
0-1 @ 4.84% (0.107 0.11)
0-2 @ 2.46% (0.063 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.72% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.7% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 18.3%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Como

AC Milan
91.6%
Draw
8.4%
Como
0.0%
95
Head to Head
Jan 14, 2025 5.30pm
Gameweek 19
Como
1-2
AC Milan
Diao (60')
Kempf (65')
Hernandez (71'), Leao (76')
Morata (20'), Bennacer (33'), Thiaw (43'), Jimenez (53'), Musah (56'), Leao (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli34228454252974
2Inter Milan34218572333971
3Atalanta BCAtalanta34198767313665
4Juventus341614451312062
5Bologna341613552371561
6Roma34179849321760
7Lazio34179857451260
8Fiorentina34178953341959
9AC Milan341591053381554
10Torino341013113839-143
11Como34119144448-442
12Udinese34118153648-1241
13Genoa34912132941-1239
14CagliariCagliari3489173549-1433
15Parma34614144053-1332
16Hellas VeronaHellas Verona3495203062-3232
17Lecce3469192456-3227
18VeneziaVenezia34413172748-2125
19Empoli34413172754-2725
20Monza3429232559-3415


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