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Serie A | Gameweek 26
Feb 23, 2025 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia
Napoli logo

Como
2 - 1
Napoli

Diao (77')
Paz (24'), Fabregas i Soler (59')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Raspadori (17')
Di Lorenzo (68'), McTominay (83'), Simeone (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Como and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fiorentina 0-2 Como
Sunday, February 16 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Lazio 2-2 Napoli
Saturday, February 15 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Como 1-2 Napoli

Napoli could come close to drawing four league games in a row for the first time since 2013, but another late twist may go in their favour this week. While Como pose plenty of threat, they are still vulnerable at the back - and their opponents' will to win is sky-high under Antonio Conte. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 52.43%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Como had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.97%) and 1-2 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.88%), while for a Como win it was 1-0 (7.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
ComoDrawNapoli
22.5% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 25.07% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 52.43% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Both teams to score 48.93% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.82% (0.045999999999999 0.05)53.18% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.25% (0.036999999999999 0.04)74.74% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Como Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.38% (0.048000000000002 0.05)38.62% (-0.047999999999995 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.63% (0.044 0.04)75.36% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.72% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)20.27% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.37% (0.018000000000001 0.02)52.63% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Como 22.5%
    Napoli 52.43%
    Draw 25.06%
ComoDrawNapoli
1-0 @ 7.45% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-1 @ 5.66% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.54% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 1.79% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 1.43% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 1.12% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 22.5%
1-1 @ 11.88%
0-0 @ 7.83% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.51% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 25.06%
0-1 @ 12.49% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 9.97% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.49% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-3 @ 5.3% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 5.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.4% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 2.12% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 2.01% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-4 @ 0.96% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 52.43%

How you voted: Como vs Napoli

Como
10.5%
Draw
13.3%
Napoli
76.2%
105
Head to Head
Oct 4, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 7
Napoli
3-1
Como
McTominay (1'), Lukaku (53' pen.), Neres (86')
Espeto (59'), Conte (60')
Espeto (43')
Buongiorno (59')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CNapoli382410459273282
2Inter Milan38249579354481
3Atalanta BCAtalanta38228878374174
4Juventus381816458352370
5Roma38209956352169
6Fiorentina381981160411965
7Lazio381811961491265
8AC Milan381891161431863
9Bologna381614857471062
10Como381310154952-349
11Torino381014143945-644
12Udinese38128184156-1544
13Genoa381013153749-1243
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona38107213466-3237
15CagliariCagliari3899204056-1636
16Parma38715164458-1436
17Lecce38810202758-3134
18Empoli38613193359-2631
19VeneziaVenezia38514193256-2429
RMonza3839262869-4118


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