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Serie A | Gameweek 26
Feb 23, 2025 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia
Napoli logo

Como
2 - 1
Napoli

Diao (77')
Paz (24'), Fabregas i Soler (59')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Raspadori (17')
Di Lorenzo (68'), McTominay (83'), Simeone (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Como and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fiorentina 0-2 Como
Sunday, February 16 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Lazio 2-2 Napoli
Saturday, February 15 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Como 1-2 Napoli

Napoli could come close to drawing four league games in a row for the first time since 2013, but another late twist may go in their favour this week. While Como pose plenty of threat, they are still vulnerable at the back - and their opponents' will to win is sky-high under Antonio Conte. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 52.43%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Como had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.97%) and 1-2 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.88%), while for a Como win it was 1-0 (7.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
ComoDrawNapoli
22.5% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 25.07% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 52.43% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Both teams to score 48.93% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.82% (0.045999999999999 0.05)53.18% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.25% (0.036999999999999 0.04)74.74% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Como Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.38% (0.048000000000002 0.05)38.62% (-0.047999999999995 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.63% (0.044 0.04)75.36% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.72% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)20.27% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.37% (0.018000000000001 0.02)52.63% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Como 22.5%
    Napoli 52.43%
    Draw 25.06%
ComoDrawNapoli
1-0 @ 7.45% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-1 @ 5.66% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.54% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 1.79% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 1.43% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 1.12% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 22.5%
1-1 @ 11.88%
0-0 @ 7.83% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.51% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 25.06%
0-1 @ 12.49% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 9.97% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.49% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-3 @ 5.3% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 5.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.4% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 2.12% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 2.01% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-4 @ 0.96% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 52.43%

How you voted: Como vs Napoli

Como
10.5%
Draw
13.3%
Napoli
76.2%
105
Head to Head
Oct 4, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 7
Napoli
3-1
Como
McTominay (1'), Lukaku (53' pen.), Neres (86')
Espeto (59'), Conte (60')
Espeto (43')
Buongiorno (59')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli34228454252974
2Inter Milan34218572333971
3Atalanta BCAtalanta34198767313665
4Juventus341614451312062
5Bologna341613552371561
6Roma34179849321760
7Lazio34179857451260
8Fiorentina34178953341959
9AC Milan341591053381554
10Torino341013113839-143
11Como34119144448-442
12Udinese34118153648-1241
13Genoa34912132941-1239
14CagliariCagliari3489173549-1433
15Parma34614144053-1332
16Hellas VeronaHellas Verona3495203062-3232
17Lecce3469192456-3227
18VeneziaVenezia34413172748-2125
19Empoli34413172754-2725
20Monza3429232559-3415


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