Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 21

Jan 20, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia

Como
4 - 1
Udinese

Diao (5'), Espeto (44'), Bijol (78' og.), Paz (90')
Fabregas i Soler (41'), Goldaniga (51')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Payero (50')
Solet (59'), Ekkelenkamp (81'), Bijol (83')
Solet (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Como and Udinese, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Como

All competitions

Last Game: Como 1-2 AC Milan
Tuesday, January 14 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Udinese

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Udinese 0-0 Atalanta
Saturday, January 11 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Como win with a probability of 41.95%. A win for Udinese had a probability of 30.61% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Como win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Udinese win was 0-1 (9.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Como would win this match.

Result
Como	Draw	Udinese
41.95% ( 0.4)	27.44% ( 0.31)	30.61% ( -0.7)

Both teams to score 48.37% (

-1.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.97% (

-1.35)

57.03% (

1.35)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.08% (

-1.09)

77.92% (

1.09)

Como Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.18% (

-0.41)

26.82% (

0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.89% (

-0.55)

62.11% (

0.55)

Udinese Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.1% (

-1.21)

33.9% (

1.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.43% (

-1.33)

70.57% (

1.33)

Score Analysis

Como 41.95%

Udinese 30.61%

Draw 27.44%

Como	Draw	Udinese
1-0 @ 11.96% ( 0.47) 2-1 @ 8.52% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 7.87% ( 0.22) 3-1 @ 3.74% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 3.45% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 1.23% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.02% Total : 41.95%	1-1 @ 12.94% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 9.09% ( 0.46) 2-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.18) Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.44%	0-1 @ 9.84% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 7% ( -0.19) 0-2 @ 5.32% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.15) 0-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.35% Total : 30.61%