Serie A | Gameweek 19
Jan 14, 2025 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia
Como1 - 2AC Milan
We said: Como 1-1 AC Milan
Milan are still finding their feet under new management - having relied more on spirit and fortune than structure to win the Supercoppa Italiana - so they may fail to beat their regional rivals. If Como can produce their best level, they should have the guile to score at least once and claim a precious point. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 41.27%. A win for Como had a probability of 32.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.72%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Como win was 1-0 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Como | Draw | AC Milan |
32.59% ( -0.01) | 26.13% ( -0.01) | 41.27% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 53.1% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
