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Serie A header desktop

Serie A

Milan logo
Serie A | Gameweek 20
Jan 11, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Cagliari logo

AC Milan
1 - 1
Cagliari

Morata (51')
Jimenez (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Zortea (55')
Felici (41'), Piccoli (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Cagliari, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 2-3 AC Milan
Monday, January 6 at 7pm in Supercoppa Italiana

Cagliari

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Monza 1-2 Cagliari
Sunday, January 5 at 11.30am in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 67.05%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 13.52%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.18%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.24%), while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (4.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.

Result
AC MilanDrawCagliari
67.05% (0.039000000000001 0.04)19.43% (-0.035999999999998 -0.04)13.52% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
Both teams to score 49.42% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.29% (0.133 0.13)43.71% (-0.13500000000001 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.9% (0.131 0.13)66.1% (-0.134 -0.13)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.91% (0.047000000000011 0.05)12.09% (-0.051 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.36% (0.105 0.11)37.64% (-0.109 -0.11)
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.22% (0.070999999999998 0.07)43.78% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.06% (0.058999999999997 0.06)79.94% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 67.04%
    Cagliari 13.52%
    Draw 19.43%
AC MilanDrawCagliari
2-0 @ 11.81% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-0 @ 11.18% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.76% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 8.32% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-1 @ 6.87% (0.015 0.01)
4-0 @ 4.39% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.63% (0.015 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.84% (0.012 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.86% (0.008 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.53% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.5% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 67.04%
1-1 @ 9.24% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.29% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.03% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 19.43%
0-1 @ 4.37% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
1-2 @ 3.82%
0-2 @ 1.81% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.11% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.05% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.36%
Total : 13.52%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Cagliari

AC Milan
92.2%
Draw
6.5%
Cagliari
1.3%
77
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