Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 20

Jan 11, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

AC Milan
1 - 1
Cagliari

Morata (51')
Jimenez (82')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Zortea (55')
Felici (41'), Piccoli (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Cagliari, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Inter Milan 2-3 AC Milan
Monday, January 6 at 7pm in Supercoppa Italiana

Goals
for

Cagliari

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Monza 1-2 Cagliari
Sunday, January 5 at 11.30am in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 67.05%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 13.52%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.18%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.24%), while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (4.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.

Result
AC Milan	Draw	Cagliari
67.05% ( 0.04)	19.43% ( -0.04)	13.52% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 49.42% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.29% (

0.13)

43.71% (

-0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.9% (

0.13)

66.1% (

-0.13)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.91% (

0.05)

12.09% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.36% (

0.11)

37.64% (

-0.11)

Cagliari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.22% (

0.07)

43.78% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.06% (

0.06)

79.94% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

AC Milan 67.04%

Cagliari 13.52%

Draw 19.43%

AC Milan	Draw	Cagliari
2-0 @ 11.81% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 11.18% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.76% ( 0) 3-0 @ 8.32% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.87% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 4.39% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.63% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.84% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.86% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.53% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.5% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.35% Total : 67.04%	1-1 @ 9.24% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.29% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.87% Total : 19.43%	0-1 @ 4.37% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 3.82% 0-2 @ 1.81% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.05% ( 0) Other @ 1.36% Total : 13.52%