Fiorentina

1 - 0

Cagliari

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 68.5%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 13.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.18%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.73%), while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (3.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.