

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 52.27%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 23.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.54%), while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (6.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fiorentina | Draw | Cagliari | 
| 52.27% | 24.27% | 23.45% | 
| Both teams to score 52.43% | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 50.89% | 49.11% | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 28.82% | 71.18% | 
| Fiorentina Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 81.24% | 18.75% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 49.85% | 50.14% | 
| Cagliari Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 64.53% | 35.46% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.77% | 72.23% | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Fiorentina | Draw | Cagliari | 
| 1-0 @ 11.13% 2-1 @ 9.66% 2-0 @ 9.32% 3-1 @ 5.39% 3-0 @ 5.2% 3-2 @ 2.79% 4-1 @ 2.26% 4-0 @ 2.18% 4-2 @ 1.17% Other @ 3.19% Total : 52.27% | 1-1 @ 11.54% 0-0 @ 6.65% 2-2 @ 5.01% 3-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.27% | 0-1 @ 6.9% 1-2 @ 5.98% 0-2 @ 3.57% 1-3 @ 2.07% 2-3 @ 1.73% 0-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 1.97% Total : 23.45% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Inter Milan | 33 | 21 | 8 | 4 | 72 | 32 | 40 | 71 | 
| 2 | Napoli | 33 | 21 | 8 | 4 | 52 | 25 | 27 | 71 | 
| 3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 66 | 30 | 36 | 64 | 
| 4 | Bologna | 33 | 16 | 12 | 5 | 52 | 37 | 15 | 60 | 
| 5 | Juventus | 32 | 15 | 14 | 3 | 49 | 30 | 19 | 59 | 
| 6 | Roma | 33 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 48 | 32 | 16 | 57 | 
| 7 | Lazio | 32 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 53 | 43 | 10 | 56 | 
| 8 | Fiorentina | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 32 | 17 | 53 | 
| 9 | AC Milan | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 51 | 38 | 13 | 51 | 
| 10 | Torino | 32 | 9 | 13 | 10 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 40 | 
| 11 | Udinese | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 40 | 
| 12 | Como | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 39 | 
| 13 | Genoa | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 29 | 38 | -9 | 39 | 
| 14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 30 | 60 | -30 | 32 | 
| 15 | CagliariCagliari | 32 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 32 | 47 | -15 | 30 | 
| 16 | Parma | 32 | 5 | 13 | 14 | 37 | 51 | -14 | 28 | 
| 17 | Lecce | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 23 | 55 | -32 | 26 | 
| 18 | VeneziaVenezia | 33 | 4 | 13 | 16 | 27 | 46 | -19 | 25 | 
| 19 | Empoli | 33 | 4 | 13 | 16 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 25 | 
| 20 | Monza | 33 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 25 | 57 | -32 | 15 | 
| > Serie A Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
