Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hammarby win with a probability of 40.15%. A win for Malmo had a probability of 34.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hammarby win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Malmo win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hammarby would win this match.
-0.29) 
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