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Europa League

Malmo
Europa League | League Stage
Jan 23, 2025 at 5.45pm UK
Malmo Stadion
FC Twente logo

Malmo
2 - 3
FC Twente

Berg Johnsen (32'), Christiansen (79')
Rosler (2'), Berg (44'), Rosengren (59'), Busanello (60'), Botheim (81'), Christiansen (89')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Steijn (28' pen.), van Wolfswinkel (61' pen.), Lagerbielke (64')
Rots (9'), Ltaief (14'), van Bergen (82'), Besselink (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Malmo and FC Twente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Malmo

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Malmo 2-2 Galatasaray
Thursday, December 12 at 5.45pm in Europa League

FC Twente

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: NAC Breda 2-1 FC Twente
Sunday, January 19 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 44.73%. A win for FC Twente had a probability of 32.45% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.66%) and 2-0 (5.97%). The likeliest FC Twente win was 1-2 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.

Result
MalmoDrawFC Twente
44.73% (-3.473 -3.47)22.81% (0.483 0.48)32.45% (2.988 2.99)
Both teams to score 64.74% (-0.067000000000007 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.89% (-0.79999999999999 -0.8)36.11% (0.797 0.8)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.78% (-0.881 -0.88)58.22% (0.879 0.88)
Malmo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.33% (-1.571 -1.57)16.66% (1.569 1.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.47% (-2.891 -2.89)46.53% (2.889 2.89)
FC Twente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.68% (1.355 1.36)22.31% (-1.359 -1.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.21% (1.992 1.99)55.79% (-1.994 -1.99)
Score Analysis
    Malmo 44.73%
    FC Twente 32.45%
    Draw 22.81%
MalmoDrawFC Twente
2-1 @ 8.96% (-0.249 -0.25)
1-0 @ 6.66% (-0.093 -0.09)
2-0 @ 5.97% (-0.418 -0.42)
3-1 @ 5.35% (-0.452 -0.45)
3-2 @ 4.01% (-0.168 -0.17)
3-0 @ 3.57% (-0.46 -0.46)
4-1 @ 2.4% (-0.346 -0.35)
4-2 @ 1.8% (-0.178 -0.18)
4-0 @ 1.6% (-0.306 -0.31)
Other @ 4.43%
Total : 44.73%
1-1 @ 10% (0.26 0.26)
2-2 @ 6.72% (0.085 0.09)
0-0 @ 3.72% (0.146 0.15)
3-3 @ 2.01% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 22.81%
1-2 @ 7.5% (0.481 0.48)
0-1 @ 5.58% (0.429 0.43)
0-2 @ 4.18% (0.474 0.47)
1-3 @ 3.75% (0.379 0.38)
2-3 @ 3.36% (0.173 0.17)
0-3 @ 2.09% (0.309 0.31)
1-4 @ 1.41% (0.192 0.19)
2-4 @ 1.26% (0.112 0.11)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 32.45%

How you voted: Malmo vs FC Twente

Malmo
55.4%
Draw
20.0%
FC Twente
24.6%
65
rhs 2.0
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