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Europa League

Malmo
Europa League | League Stage
Dec 12, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Malmo Stadion
Galatasaray

Malmo
2 - 2
Galatasaray

Botheim (24'), Pena (90+2')
Bolin (32'), Rieks (39')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Jelert (43'), Akgun (56')
Torreira (53'), Baltaci (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Malmo and Galatasaray, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Malmo

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Ferencvaros 4-1 Malmo
Thursday, November 28 at 8pm in Europa League

Galatasaray

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Sivasspor 2-3 Galatasaray
Sunday, December 8 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 39.22%. A win for Galatasaray had a probability of 37.21% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.79%) and 2-0 (5.45%). The likeliest Galatasaray win was 1-2 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
MalmoDrawGalatasaray
39.22% (-2.433 -2.43)23.57% (-0.403 -0.4)37.21% (2.837 2.84)
Both teams to score 63.09% (2.006 2.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.24% (2.417 2.42)38.76% (-2.416 -2.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.94% (2.504 2.5)61.06% (-2.502 -2.5)
Malmo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.91% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)20.09% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.67% (-0.132 -0.13)52.32% (0.133 0.13)
Galatasaray Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.95% (2.592 2.59)21.05% (-2.591 -2.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.15% (3.886 3.89)53.85% (-3.884 -3.88)
Score Analysis
    Malmo 39.22%
    Galatasaray 37.21%
    Draw 23.57%
MalmoDrawGalatasaray
2-1 @ 8.49% (-0.343 -0.34)
1-0 @ 6.79% (-0.824 -0.82)
2-0 @ 5.45% (-0.676 -0.68)
3-1 @ 4.54% (-0.197 -0.2)
3-2 @ 3.54% (0.123 0.12)
3-0 @ 2.91% (-0.371 -0.37)
4-1 @ 1.82% (-0.083 -0.08)
4-2 @ 1.42% (0.045 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.17% (-0.152 -0.15)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 39.22%
1-1 @ 10.57% (-0.4 -0.4)
2-2 @ 6.61% (0.245 0.25)
0-0 @ 4.23% (-0.501 -0.5)
3-3 @ 1.84% (0.196 0.2)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 23.57%
1-2 @ 8.24% (0.326 0.33)
0-1 @ 6.59% (-0.231 -0.23)
0-2 @ 5.13% (0.215 0.22)
1-3 @ 4.28% (0.475 0.48)
2-3 @ 3.44% (0.373 0.37)
0-3 @ 2.67% (0.302 0.3)
1-4 @ 1.67% (0.295 0.3)
2-4 @ 1.34% (0.234 0.23)
0-4 @ 1.04% (0.187 0.19)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 37.21%

How you voted: Malmo vs Galatasaray

Malmo
14.9%
Draw
11.2%
Galatasaray
73.9%
188
rhs 2.0
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