Potential new EL header

Europa League

Ferencvaros
Europa League | League Stage
Nov 28, 2024 at 8pm UK
Groupama Arena
Malmo

Ferencvaros
4 - 1
Malmo

Varga (8' pen., 11'), Kady (53'), Cisse (74')
Varga (68')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Botheim (18' pen.)
Stryger Larsen (15'), Kiese Thelin (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Ferencvaros and Malmo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ferencvaros

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Ferencvaros 3-3 Diosgyor
Sunday, November 24 at 2.30pm in Hungarian NB I

Malmo

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Malmo 2-1 Brommapojkarna
Sunday, November 10 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ferencvaros win with a probability of 51.46%. A win for Malmo had a probability of 25.75% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ferencvaros win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.41%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Malmo win was 1-2 (6.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ferencvaros would win this match.

Result
FerencvarosDrawMalmo
51.46% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)22.79% (0.013000000000002 0.01)25.75% (0.029999999999998 0.03)
Both teams to score 59.91% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.61% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)40.39% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.24% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)62.76% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Ferencvaros Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.18% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)15.82% (0.025 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.01% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)44.99% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Malmo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.16% (0.010999999999996 0.01)28.83% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.3% (0.009999999999998 0.01)64.69% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Score Analysis
    Ferencvaros 51.46%
    Malmo 25.75%
    Draw 22.79%
FerencvarosDrawMalmo
2-1 @ 9.64% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 8.41% (0.004999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 7.76% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 5.93% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.77% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 2.73% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.2% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.7% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 1.01% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 51.46%
1-1 @ 10.46% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 6%
0-0 @ 4.56% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.53% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 22.79%
1-2 @ 6.5% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.67% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.53% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.7% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.49% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 1.46% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 25.75%

How you voted: Ferencvaros vs Malmo

Ferencvaros
75.4%
Draw
13.8%
Malmo
10.8%
65