Europa League | League Stage
Oct 3, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Stadions Daugava
Galatasaray

RFS
2 - 2
Galatasaray

Ikaunieks (40'), Odisharia (55')
Panic (31'), Ikaunieks (83'), Morozs (90')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Mertens (12'), Akgun (38')
Akgun (18'), Demirbay (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Rigas Futbola Skola and Galatasaray, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: FCSB 4-1 RFS
Thursday, September 26 at 8pm in Europa League
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Last Game: Galatasaray 3-3 Kasimpasa
Saturday, September 28 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 47.94%. A win for Rigas Futbola Skola had a probability of 30.12% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.15%) and 0-2 (5.98%). The likeliest Rigas Futbola Skola win was 2-1 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
Rigas Futbola SkolaDrawGalatasaray
30.12% (1.113 1.11)21.94% (-0.441 -0.44)47.94% (-0.675 -0.67)
Both teams to score 66.73% (2.456 2.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.03% (2.895 2.9)32.97% (-2.898 -2.9)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.31% (3.259 3.26)54.69% (-3.263 -3.26)
Rigas Futbola Skola Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.88% (2.122 2.12)22.11% (-2.125 -2.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.52% (3.106 3.11)55.48% (-3.109 -3.11)
Galatasaray Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.68% (0.83800000000001 0.84)14.32% (-0.842 -0.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.85% (1.61 1.61)42.14% (-1.611 -1.61)
Score Analysis
    Rigas Futbola Skola 30.12%
    Galatasaray 47.94%
    Draw 21.94%
Rigas Futbola SkolaDrawGalatasaray
2-1 @ 7.01% (0.044 0.04)
1-0 @ 4.78% (-0.43 -0.43)
2-0 @ 3.6% (-0.086 -0.09)
3-1 @ 3.52% (0.235 0.24)
3-2 @ 3.43% (0.323 0.32)
3-0 @ 1.81% (0.07 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.33% (0.165 0.17)
4-2 @ 1.29% (0.193 0.19)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 30.12%
1-1 @ 9.29% (-0.538 -0.54)
2-2 @ 6.81% (0.242 0.24)
0-0 @ 3.17% (-0.508 -0.51)
3-3 @ 2.22% (0.268 0.27)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 21.94%
1-2 @ 9.03% (-0.242 -0.24)
0-1 @ 6.15% (-0.778 -0.78)
0-2 @ 5.98% (-0.558 -0.56)
1-3 @ 5.85% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 4.41% (0.282 0.28)
0-3 @ 3.88% (-0.237 -0.24)
1-4 @ 2.84% (0.092 0.09)
2-4 @ 2.14% (0.196 0.2)
0-4 @ 1.88% (-0.056 -0.06)
1-5 @ 1.11% (0.068 0.07)
3-4 @ 1.08% (0.158 0.16)
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 47.94%

How you voted: RFS vs Galatasaray

Rigas Futbola Skola
7.6%
Draw
10.3%
Galatasaray
82.1%
145
rhs 2.0


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