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Europa League

Galatasaray
Europa League | League Stage
Oct 23, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Rams Global Stadium

Galatasaray
4 - 3
Elfsborg

Icardi (28'), Pettersson (39' og.), Yilmaz (44'), Akgun (83')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Hult (52'), Baidoo (65' pen.), Larsson (90+2')
Yegbe (38'), Hult (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Europa League clash between Galatasaray and Elfsborg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Galatasaray

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Antalyaspor 0-3 Galatasaray
Saturday, October 19 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

Elfsborg

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Elfsborg 1-3 Hacken
Saturday, October 19 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 55.23%. A win for Elfsborg had a probability of 23.27% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.82%) and 1-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Elfsborg win was 1-2 (5.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.65%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Galatasaray would win this match.

Result
GalatasarayDrawElfsborg
55.23% (-0.278 -0.28)21.5% (0.047999999999998 0.05)23.27% (0.235 0.23)
Both teams to score 61.62% (0.15 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.14% (0.062000000000005 0.06)36.86% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.96% (0.066000000000003 0.07)59.04% (-0.061 -0.06)
Galatasaray Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.63% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)13.37% (0.068 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.74% (-0.131 -0.13)40.26% (0.136 0.14)
Elfsborg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.12% (0.22799999999999 0.23)28.88% (-0.223 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.25% (0.281 0.28)64.75% (-0.27500000000001 -0.28)
Score Analysis
    Galatasaray 55.23%
    Elfsborg 23.27%
    Draw 21.5%
GalatasarayDrawElfsborg
2-1 @ 9.71% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.82% (-0.061 -0.06)
1-0 @ 7.77% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-1 @ 6.51% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-0 @ 5.24% (-0.053999999999999 -0.05)
3-2 @ 4.05% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.28% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.64% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-2 @ 2.04%
5-1 @ 1.32% (-0.012 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.06% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 3.81%
Total : 55.23%
1-1 @ 9.65% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.03% (0.029 0.03)
0-0 @ 3.86% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.68% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 21.5%
1-2 @ 5.99% (0.043 0.04)
0-1 @ 4.79% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.98% (0.028 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.5% (0.027 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.48% (0.033 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.23% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 23.27%

How you voted: Galatasaray vs Elfsborg

Galatasaray
84.6%
Draw
12.2%
Elfsborg
3.3%
123
rhs 2.0
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