Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 47.88%. A win for NAC Breda had a probability of 28.96% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.85%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest NAC Breda win was 2-1 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| NAC Breda | Draw | FC Twente |
| 28.96% ( | 23.16% ( | 47.88% ( |
| Both teams to score 61.39% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.36% ( | 39.64% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38% ( | 61.99% ( |
| NAC Breda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.82% ( | 26.17% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.74% ( | 61.26% ( |
| FC Twente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.16% ( | 16.84% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 53.17% ( | 46.83% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| NAC Breda | Draw | FC Twente |
| 2-1 @ 7.05% ( 1-0 @ 5.91% ( 2-0 @ 3.96% ( 3-1 @ 3.15% ( 3-2 @ 2.81% ( 3-0 @ 1.77% ( 4-1 @ 1.06% ( 4-2 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 2.32% Total : 28.96% | 1-1 @ 10.52% ( 2-2 @ 6.28% ( 0-0 @ 4.41% ( 3-3 @ 1.67% ( Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.15% | 1-2 @ 9.38% ( 0-1 @ 7.85% ( 0-2 @ 6.99% ( 1-3 @ 5.57% ( 0-3 @ 4.15% ( 2-3 @ 3.73% ( 1-4 @ 2.48% ( 0-4 @ 1.85% ( 2-4 @ 1.66% ( Other @ 4.22% Total : 47.88% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ajax | 24 | 19 | 3 | 2 | 52 | 18 | 34 | 60 |
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 24 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 73 | 29 | 44 | 52 |
| 3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 24 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 43 | 36 | 7 | 46 |
| 4 | Feyenoord | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 48 | 27 | 21 | 44 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 24 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 49 | 31 | 18 | 43 |
| 6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 40 | 24 | 16 | 43 |
| 7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 43 | 38 | 5 | 38 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 30 |
| 9 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 31 | 42 | -11 | 29 |
| 10 | Groningen | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 28 |
| 11 | Heracles | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 27 |
| 12 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 24 | 8 | 3 | 13 | 26 | 42 | -16 | 27 |
| 13 | NECNijmegen | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 34 | 34 | 0 | 26 |
| 14 | PEC Zwolle | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 29 | 39 | -10 | 25 |
| 15 | Willem II | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 24 |
| 16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 23 |
| 17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 17 |
| 18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 24 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 15 | 48 | -33 | 14 |
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
