Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between De Graafschap and SBV Excelsior.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Jong PSV 1-2 De Graafschap
Friday, February 28 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Friday, February 28 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Goals
for
for
56
Last Game: Excelsior 1-1 Roda JC
Sunday, March 2 at 3.45pm in Eerste Divisie
Sunday, March 2 at 3.45pm in Eerste Divisie
Goals
for
for
49
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 54.76%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 23.85% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.5%) and 1-0 (7.38%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 (6.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for De Graafschap in this match.
| Result | ||
| De Graafschap | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
54.76% ( -0.02) | 21.38% ( 0.01) | 23.85% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 62.82% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
