Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 47.94%. A win for Fulham had a probability of 28.7% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.16%) and 0-2 (7.17%). The likeliest Fulham win was 2-1 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Chelsea in this match.