Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 73.57%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Tottenham Hotspur had a probability of 11.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 3-0 (8.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.8%), while for a Tottenham Hotspur win it was 1-2 (3.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.