Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 60.53%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Chelsea had a probability of 19.02%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.97%) and 1-0 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.36%), while for a Chelsea win it was 1-2 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Arsenal in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Arsenal.