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Premier League | Gameweek 29
Mar 16, 2025 at 1.30pm UK
Emirates Stadium
Chelsea logo

Arsenal
1 - 0
Chelsea

Merino (20')
Magalhaes (54'), Partey (58'), Odegaard (65')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Colwill (30'), Neto (52'), Fofana (59')

The Match

Match Report

Mikel Merino's header is the difference as Arsenal strengthen their grip on second place in the Premier League table with a 1-0 victory over London rivals Chelsea.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's Premier League clash between Arsenal and Chelsea.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Arsenal and Chelsea, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Arsenal could line up for Sunday's Premier League London derby with Chelsea.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up all of Arsenal's latest injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's Premier League clash with Chelsea.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Arsenal 2-2 PSV
Wednesday, March 12 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Chelsea 1-0 Copenhagen
Thursday, March 13 at 8pm in Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 60.53%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Chelsea had a probability of 19.02%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.97%) and 1-0 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.36%), while for a Chelsea win it was 1-2 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Arsenal in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Arsenal.

Result
ArsenalDrawChelsea
60.53% (0.047000000000004 0.05) 20.45% (0.0019999999999989 0) 19.02% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Both teams to score 58.68% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.29% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)37.71% (0.080999999999996 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.05% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)59.95% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Arsenal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.9% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)12.1% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.35% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)37.65% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Chelsea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.76% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)33.24% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.15% (-0.105 -0.11)69.85% (0.107 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Arsenal 60.53%
    Chelsea 19.02%
    Draw 20.45%
ArsenalDrawChelsea
2-1 @ 9.88% (0.0040000000000013 0)
2-0 @ 8.97% (0.026 0.03)
1-0 @ 8.49% (0.029 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.96% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 6.32% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.83% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.67% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 3.34% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.02% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.55% (-0.002 -0)
5-0 @ 1.41% (0.002 0)
Other @ 4.09%
Total : 60.53%
1-1 @ 9.36% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.44% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.02% (0.015 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.41% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 20.45%
1-2 @ 5.15% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
0-1 @ 4.43% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.44% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.89% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 19.02%

How you voted: Arsenal vs Chelsea

Arsenal
68.3%
Draw
14.7%
Chelsea
16.9%
278
Head to Head
Nov 10, 2024 4.30pm
Gameweek 11
Chelsea
1-1
Arsenal
Neto (70')
Colwill (21'), Neto (33'), Madueke (45+1'), Cucurella (80')
Martinelli (60')
White (39'), Havertz (56')
Apr 23, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 29
Arsenal
5-0
Chelsea
Trossard (4'), White (52', 70'), Havertz (57', 65')
Arteta (43'), Trossard (45'), White (76')

Gilchrist (42'), Cucurella (43')
Oct 21, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 9
Chelsea
2-2
Arsenal
Palmer (15' pen.), Mudryk (48')
Palmer (8'), Silva (44'), Cucurella (71')
Rice (77'), Trossard (84')
Arteta (9'), Zinchenko (11'), Nketiah (89'), White (90+1')
May 2, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 34
Arsenal
3-1
Chelsea
Odegaard (18', 31'), Jesus (34')
Madueke (65')
Nov 6, 2022 12pm
Build-up
Charles Watts/Enzo Maresca composite image
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Arsenal expert Charles Watts is fearful for the Gunners' place in the Premier League's top four if they suffer defeat to Chelsea in Sunday's London derby.
Mar 15, 10:45
Arsenal's Bukayo Saka reacts on October 5, 2024
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Sports Mole rounds up all of Arsenal's latest injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's Premier League clash with Chelsea.
Mar 13, 07:30
Chelsea's Noni Madueke pictured in May 2024
Chelsea injury, suspension list and return dates for Arsenal: Gusto, Madueke, Jackson latest
Sports Mole rounds up all of Chelsea's latest injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's Premier League London derby with Arsenal.
Mar 14, 07:52
Arsenal's Ethan Nwaneri celebrates scoring on October 30, 2024
Arsenal lineup vs. Chelsea: Predicted XI for Premier League London derby as Ethan Nwaneri chases record
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Arsenal could line up for Sunday's Premier League London derby with Chelsea.
Mar 14, 10:20
Chelsea's Malo Gusto pictured on February 25, 2025
Chelsea lineup vs. Arsenal: Predicted XI for Premier League London derby amid Malo Gusto concern
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Chelsea could line up for Sunday's Premier League London derby with Arsenal.
Mar 14, 10:30
Chelsea's Cole Palmer in action with Arsenal's Declan Rice and Gabriel Magalhaes on November 10, 2024
Arsenal vs. Chelsea: Enzo Maresca makes assessment over gap between two Premier League giants
Chelsea head coach Enzo Maresca insists that Sunday's opponents Arsenal remain clear of Chelsea in every department ahead of their Premier League game at the Emirates Stadium.
Mar 14, 13:33
Arsenal's Ethan Nwaneri pictured on February 15, 2025
Arsenal's Ethan Nwaneri aiming to break Premier League goalscoring record in Chelsea clash
Arsenal winger Ethan Nwaneri could break another Premier League record when Mikel Arteta's men host London rivals Chelsea on Sunday at the Emirates Stadium.
Mar 14, 15:02
Chelsea head coach Enzo Maresca in February 2025.
Arsenal vs. Chelsea: Both Premier League giants at risk of setting unwanted Emirates Stadium streaks
Arsenal and Chelsea will both be at risk of setting unwanted streaks when they square off in their Premier League fixture at the Emirates Stadium on Sunday afternoon.
Mar 14, 18:11
Chelsea's Cole Palmer looks dejected on December 26, 2024
Arsenal-Chelsea starting lineups confirmed as huge Cole Palmer shock revealed
Arsenal and Chelsea confirm their starting lineups for Sunday's Premier League London derby at the Emirates.
Mar 16, 12:18
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool34257280324882
2Arsenal341813363293467
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle341951065442162
4Manchester CityMan City34187966432361
5Chelsea34179859401960
6Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest33186953391460
7Aston Villa3416995449557
8Fulham34149115046451
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton34131295655151
10Bournemouth3413111053411250
11Brentford33137135650646
12Crystal Palace341112114347-445
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves34125175161-1041
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd34109153947-839
15Everton34814123441-738
16Tottenham HotspurSpurs34114196256637
17West Ham UnitedWest Ham3499163958-1936
18Ipswich TownIpswich3449213374-4121
19Leicester CityLeicester3446242776-4918
20Southampton3425272580-5511


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