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Premier League | Gameweek 24
Feb 2, 2025 at 4.30pm UK
Emirates Stadium
Manchester City logo

Arsenal
5 - 1
Man City

Odegaard (2'), Partey (56'), Lewis-Skelly (62'), Havertz (76'), Nwaneri (90+3')
Maduro (25'), Odegaard (71')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Haaland (55')

The Match

Match Report

Myles Lewis-Skelly and Ethan Nwaneri both find the back of the net as Arsenal demolish a meek Manchester City 5-1 at the Emirates in the Premier League.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's Premier League clash between Arsenal and Manchester City.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Arsenal and Manchester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Manchester City could line up for Sunday's Premier League clash with Arsenal.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Manchester City's injury and suspension news ahead of their Premier League clash with Arsenal on Sunday.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Girona 1-2 Arsenal
Wednesday, January 29 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Man City 3-1 Brugge
Wednesday, January 29 at 8pm in Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 53.73%. A win for Manchester City had a probability of 24.45% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.7%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Manchester City win was 1-2 (6.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.78%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.

Result
ArsenalDrawManchester City
53.73% (0.963 0.96)21.82% (-0.228 -0.23)24.45% (-0.74 -0.74)
Both teams to score 61.94% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.92% (0.34 0.34)37.08% (-0.344 -0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.72% (0.36799999999999 0.37)59.28% (-0.371 -0.37)
Arsenal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.1% (0.42599999999999 0.43)13.9% (-0.429 -0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.67% (0.832 0.83)41.33% (-0.836 -0.84)
Manchester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.94% (-0.38 -0.38)28.06% (0.375 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.28% (-0.483 -0.48)63.72% (0.47900000000001 0.48)
Score Analysis
    Arsenal 53.73%
    Manchester City 24.45%
    Draw 21.82%
ArsenalDrawManchester City
2-1 @ 9.65% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
1-0 @ 7.7% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.59% (0.107 0.11)
3-1 @ 6.35% (0.12 0.12)
3-0 @ 4.99% (0.145 0.15)
3-2 @ 4.03% (0.034 0.03)
4-1 @ 3.13% (0.106 0.11)
4-0 @ 2.46% (0.108 0.11)
4-2 @ 1.99% (0.047 0.05)
5-1 @ 1.24% (0.06 0.06)
5-0 @ 0.97% (0.057 0.06)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 53.73%
1-1 @ 9.78% (-0.116 -0.12)
2-2 @ 6.13% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-0 @ 3.9% (-0.066 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.71% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 21.82%
1-2 @ 6.22% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-1 @ 4.96% (-0.137 -0.14)
0-2 @ 3.15% (-0.122 -0.12)
1-3 @ 2.63% (-0.088 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.6% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.33% (-0.067 -0.07)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 24.45%

How you voted: Arsenal vs Man City

Arsenal
45.6%
Draw
18.6%
Manchester City
35.8%
430
Head to Head
Sep 22, 2024 4.30pm
Gameweek 5
Man City
2-2
Arsenal
Haaland (9'), Stones (90+8')
Ederson (23'), Dias (45+1'), Silva (90+1'), Guardiola (90+8')
Calafiori (22'), Magalhaes (45+1')
Trossard (34'), Partey (45+7'), Lewis-Skelly (65'), Rice (83'), Jesus (90+6')
Trossard (45+8')
Mar 31, 2024 4.30pm
Gameweek 30
Man City
0-0
Arsenal
Jesus (67'), Raya (79')
Oct 8, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 8
Arsenal
1-0
Man City
Martinelli (86')
Jorginho (11'), Jesus (90+3')

Silva (23'), Kovacic (29'), Ederson (90+3')
Aug 6, 2023 4pm
Final
Arsenal
1-1
Man City
(Aggregate 1-1 | Arsenal win 4-1 on penalties)
Trossard (90+11')
Partey (8'), Havertz (27'), Magalhaes (66')
Palmer (77')
Alvarez (31')
Apr 26, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 33
Man City
4-1
Arsenal
De Bruyne (7', 54'), Stones (45+1'), Braut Haaland (90+5')
Holding (86')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLiverpool38259486414584
2Arsenal382014469343574
3Manchester CityMan City38218972442871
4Chelsea38209964432169
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle382061268472166
6Aston Villa38199105851766
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest381981158461265
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton38161396659761
9Bournemouth3815111258461256
10Brentford38168146657956
11Fulham38159145454054
12Crystal Palace381314115151053
13Everton381115124244-248
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham381110174662-1643
15Manchester UnitedMan Utd38119184454-1042
16Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38126205469-1542
17Tottenham HotspurSpurs38115226465-138
RLeicester CityLeicester3867253380-4725
RIpswich TownIpswich38410243682-4622
RSouthampton3826302686-6012


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