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Premier League | Gameweek 24
Feb 2, 2025 at 4.30pm UK
Emirates Stadium
Manchester City logo

Arsenal
5 - 1
Man City

Odegaard (2'), Partey (56'), Lewis-Skelly (62'), Havertz (76'), Nwaneri (90+3')
Maduro (25'), Odegaard (71')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Haaland (55')

The Match

Match Report

Myles Lewis-Skelly and Ethan Nwaneri both find the back of the net as Arsenal demolish a meek Manchester City 5-1 at the Emirates in the Premier League.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's Premier League clash between Arsenal and Manchester City.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Arsenal and Manchester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Arsenal could line up for Sunday's Premier League clash with Manchester City.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up all of Arsenal's latest injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's Premier League clash with Manchester City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Girona 1-2 Arsenal
Wednesday, January 29 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Man City 3-1 Brugge
Wednesday, January 29 at 8pm in Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 53.73%. A win for Manchester City had a probability of 24.45% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.7%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Manchester City win was 1-2 (6.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.78%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.

Result
ArsenalDrawManchester City
53.73% (0.963 0.96) 21.82% (-0.228 -0.23) 24.45% (-0.74 -0.74)
Both teams to score 61.94% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.92% (0.34 0.34)37.08% (-0.344 -0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.72% (0.36799999999999 0.37)59.28% (-0.371 -0.37)
Arsenal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.1% (0.42599999999999 0.43)13.9% (-0.429 -0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.67% (0.832 0.83)41.33% (-0.836 -0.84)
Manchester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.94% (-0.38 -0.38)28.06% (0.375 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.28% (-0.483 -0.48)63.72% (0.47900000000001 0.48)
Score Analysis
    Arsenal 53.73%
    Manchester City 24.45%
    Draw 21.82%
ArsenalDrawManchester City
2-1 @ 9.65% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
1-0 @ 7.7% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.59% (0.107 0.11)
3-1 @ 6.35% (0.12 0.12)
3-0 @ 4.99% (0.145 0.15)
3-2 @ 4.03% (0.034 0.03)
4-1 @ 3.13% (0.106 0.11)
4-0 @ 2.46% (0.108 0.11)
4-2 @ 1.99% (0.047 0.05)
5-1 @ 1.24% (0.06 0.06)
5-0 @ 0.97% (0.057 0.06)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 53.73%
1-1 @ 9.78% (-0.116 -0.12)
2-2 @ 6.13% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-0 @ 3.9% (-0.066 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.71% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 21.82%
1-2 @ 6.22% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-1 @ 4.96% (-0.137 -0.14)
0-2 @ 3.15% (-0.122 -0.12)
1-3 @ 2.63% (-0.088 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.6% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.33% (-0.067 -0.07)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 24.45%

How you voted: Arsenal vs Man City

Arsenal
45.6%
Draw
18.6%
Manchester City
35.8%
430
Head to Head
Sep 22, 2024 4.30pm
Gameweek 5
Man City
2-2
Arsenal
Haaland (9'), Stones (90+8')
Ederson (23'), Dias (45+1'), Silva (90+1'), Guardiola (90+8')
Calafiori (22'), Magalhaes (45+1')
Trossard (34'), Partey (45+7'), Lewis-Skelly (65'), Rice (83'), Jesus (90+6')
Trossard (45+8')
Mar 31, 2024 4.30pm
Gameweek 30
Man City
0-0
Arsenal
Jesus (67'), Raya (79')
Oct 8, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 8
Arsenal
1-0
Man City
Martinelli (86')
Jorginho (11'), Jesus (90+3')

Silva (23'), Kovacic (29'), Ederson (90+3')
Aug 6, 2023 4pm
Final
Arsenal
1-1
Man City
(Aggregate 1-1 | Arsenal win 4-1 on penalties)
Trossard (90+11')
Partey (8'), Havertz (27'), Magalhaes (66')
Palmer (77')
Alvarez (31')
Apr 26, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 33
Man City
4-1
Arsenal
De Bruyne (7', 54'), Stones (45+1'), Braut Haaland (90+5')
Holding (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool34257280324882
2Arsenal341813363293467
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle341951065442162
4Manchester CityMan City34187966432361
5Chelsea34179859401960
6Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest341861053411260
7Aston Villa3416995449557
8Fulham34149115046451
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton34131295655151
10Bournemouth3413111053411250
11Brentford34147135850849
12Crystal Palace341112114347-445
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves34125175161-1041
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd34109153947-839
15Everton34814123441-738
16Tottenham HotspurSpurs34114196256637
17West Ham UnitedWest Ham3499163958-1936
18Ipswich TownIpswich3449213374-4121
19Leicester CityLeicester3446242776-4918
20Southampton3425272580-5511


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