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Premier League | Gameweek 22
Jan 18, 2025 at 5.30pm UK
Emirates Stadium
Aston Villa logo

Arsenal
2 - 2
Aston Villa

Martinelli (35'), Havertz (55')
Arteta (30'), Trossard (67'), Sterling (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Tielemans (60'), Watkins (68')
Maatsen (20'), Emery (63'), Kamara (78'), Rogers (90+5')

The Match

Match Report

Arsenal's Premier League title hopes take a huge hit, with the Gunners giving away a two-goal advantage to draw 2-2 with Aston Villa in Saturday's late start.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's Premier League clash between Arsenal and Aston Villa.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Arsenal and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Aston Villa could line up for Saturday's Premier League clash with Arsenal.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up all of Arsenal's latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's Premier League clash with Aston Villa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Arsenal 2-1 Spurs
Wednesday, January 15 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Everton 0-1 Aston Villa
Wednesday, January 15 at 7.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 71.22%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 11.55%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.77%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.13%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 0-1 (3.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
ArsenalDrawAston Villa
71.22% (-0.015999999999991 -0.02)17.23% (0.038 0.04)11.55% (-0.025 -0.03)
Both teams to score 51.06% (-0.231 -0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.56% (-0.256 -0.26)38.43% (0.253 0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.27% (-0.272 -0.27)60.72% (0.269 0.27)
Arsenal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.43% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)9.56% (0.068 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.99% (-0.166 -0.17)32.01% (0.162 0.16)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.46% (-0.212 -0.21)43.54% (0.21 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.26% (-0.177 -0.18)79.74% (0.17399999999999 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Arsenal 71.22%
    Aston Villa 11.55%
    Draw 17.23%
ArsenalDrawAston Villa
2-0 @ 11.47% (0.07 0.07)
1-0 @ 9.77% (0.087999999999999 0.09)
2-1 @ 9.54% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 8.97% (0.025 0.03)
3-1 @ 7.46% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
4-0 @ 5.27% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 4.38% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.1% (-0.027 -0.03)
5-0 @ 2.47% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
5-1 @ 2.06% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.82% (-0.021 -0.02)
6-0 @ 0.97% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.93%
Total : 71.22%
1-1 @ 8.13% (0.026 0.03)
0-0 @ 4.16% (0.049 0.05)
2-2 @ 3.97% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 17.23%
0-1 @ 3.46% (0.022 0.02)
1-2 @ 3.38% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.44%
2-3 @ 1.1% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 0.94% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 1.24%
Total : 11.55%

How you voted: Arsenal vs Aston Villa

Arsenal
61.0%
Draw
16.1%
Aston Villa
22.9%
236
Head to Head
Aug 24, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 2
Aston Villa
0-2
Arsenal

Onana (72')
Trossard (67'), Partey (77')
Rice (45+3'), Magalhaes (57'), Odegaard (89')
Apr 14, 2024 4.30pm
Gameweek 33
Arsenal
0-2
Aston Villa

White (36'), Magalhaes (45'), Havertz (63')
Bailey (84'), Watkins (87')
Rogers (14')
Dec 9, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 16
Aston Villa
1-0
Arsenal
McGinn (7')
Digne (53'), Luiz (62'), McGinn (73'), Carlos (88')

Zinchenko (28'), Rice (77')
Feb 18, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 24
Aston Villa
2-4
Arsenal
Watkins (5'), Coutinho (31')
Saka (16'), Zinchenko (61'), Martinez (90+3' og.), Martinelli (90+8')
Aug 31, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 5
Arsenal
2-1
Aston Villa
Jesus (30'), Martinelli (77')
Luiz (74')