FA Cup

FA Cup | Third Round

Jan 10, 2025 at 8pm UK

Villa Park

Aston Villa
2 - 1
West Ham

Onana (71'), Rogers (76')
Rogers (57')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Paqueta (9')
Kudus (29')

The Match

Match Report

Aston Villa stage comeback win to beat West Ham United and progress from their FA Cup third-round tie on Friday night, with goals from Morgan Rogers and Amadou Onana.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's FA Cup clash between Aston Villa and West Ham United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa

All competitions

Last Game: Aston Villa 2-1 Leicester
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

West Ham United

All competitions

Last Game: Man City 4-1 West Ham
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 56.72%. A win for West Ham United had a probability of 21.85% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.35%) and 1-0 (8.3%). The likeliest West Ham United win was 1-2 (5.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Aston Villa in this match.

Result
Aston Villa	Draw	West Ham United
56.72% ( -0.06)	21.42% ( 0.01)	21.85% ( 0.05)

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Liverpool	38	25	9	4	86	41	45	84
2	Arsenal	38	20	14	4	69	34	35	74
3	Manchester City Man City	38	21	8	9	72	44	28	71
4	Chelsea	38	20	9	9	64	43	21	69
5	Newcastle United Newcastle	38	20	6	12	68	47	21	66
6	Aston Villa	38	19	9	10	58	51	7	66
7	Nottingham Forest Nott'm Forest	38	19	8	11	58	46	12	65
8	Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton	38	16	13	9	66	59	7	61
9	Bournemouth	38	15	11	12	58	46	12	56
10	Brentford	38	16	8	14	66	57	9	56
11	Fulham	38	15	9	14	54	54	0	54
12	Crystal Palace	38	13	14	11	51	51	0	53
13	Everton	38	11	15	12	42	44	-2	48
14	West Ham United West Ham	38	11	10	17	46	62	-16	43
15	Manchester United Man Utd	38	11	9	18	44	54	-10	42
16	Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolves	38	12	6	20	54	69	-15	42
17	Tottenham Hotspur Spurs	38	11	5	22	64	65	-1	38
R	Leicester City Leicester	38	6	7	25	33	80	-47	25
R	Ipswich Town Ipswich	38	4	10	24	36	82	-46	22
R	Southampton	38	2	6	30	26	86	-60	12
					> Premier League Full Table

Aston Villa	Draw	West Ham United
2-1 @ 9.82% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.35% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.3% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.59% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.6% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.87% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.31% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.82% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.95% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.33% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.13% ( -0) Other @ 3.64% Total : 56.72%	1-1 @ 9.76% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.77% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.13% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.52% ( 0) Other @ 0.25% Total : 21.43%	1-2 @ 5.74% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.85% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.85% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.12% ( 0) Other @ 2.78% Total : 21.85%