Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 9

Oct 22, 2023 at 4.30pm UK

Villa Park

Aston Villa
4 - 1
West Ham

Luiz (30', 52' pen.), Watkins (74'), Bailey (89')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Bowen (56')
Palmieri (54')

West Ham United boss David Moyes: 'Aston Villa looked at a different level'

West Ham United manager David Moyes claims that Aston Villa looked "at a different level" as they put the Hammers to the sword 4-1 at Villa Park in the Premier League on Sunday.

Oct 22, 21:00

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Wolves 1-1 Aston Villa
Sunday, October 8 at 2pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

West Ham United

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: West Ham 2-2 Newcastle
Sunday, October 8 at 2pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 54.83%. A win for West Ham United had a probability of 22.91% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.89%) and 2-0 (8.48%). The likeliest West Ham United win was 1-2 (5.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.

Result
Aston Villa	Draw	West Ham United
54.83% ( 0.55)	22.26% ( 0.22)	22.91% ( -0.78)

Both teams to score 58.43% (

-1.8)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.16% (

-1.93)

40.84% (

1.93)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.77% (

-2)

63.23% (

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.16% (

-0.48)

14.84% (

0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.84% (

-0.93)

43.15% (

0.93)

West Ham United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.62% (

-1.72)

31.38% (

1.72)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.25% (

-2.04)

67.75% (

2.04)

Score Analysis

Aston Villa 54.83%

West Ham United 22.91%

Draw 22.25%

Aston Villa	Draw	West Ham United
2-1 @ 9.82% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 8.89% ( 0.62) 2-0 @ 8.48% ( 0.45) 3-1 @ 6.25% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 5.39% ( 0.2) 3-2 @ 3.62% ( -0.21) 4-1 @ 2.98% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 2.57% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.73% ( -0.13) 5-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 3% Total : 54.83%	1-1 @ 10.29% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 5.69% ( -0.23) 0-0 @ 4.66% ( 0.4) 3-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.25%	1-2 @ 5.97% ( -0.14) 0-1 @ 5.4% ( 0.22) 0-2 @ 3.13% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.17) 2-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.2) 0-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.71% Total : 22.91%