Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 4

Sep 1, 2023 at 8pm UK

Kenilworth Road Stadium

Luton
1 - 2
West Ham

Andersen (90+2')
Nakamba (87')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Bowen (37'), Zouma (85')
Palmieri (81')

The Match

Match Report

Luton Town's first Premier League match at the newly-refurbished Kenilworth Road ends in defeat as West Ham United move top of the table with a 2-1 victory.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Premier League clash between Luton Town and West Ham United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Luton Town

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Luton 3-2 Gillingham
Tuesday, August 29 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

West Ham United

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Brighton 1-3 West Ham
Saturday, August 26 at 5.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 49.59%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for West Ham United had a probability of 25.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.01%), while for a West Ham United win it was 0-1 (7.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that West Ham United would win this match.

Result
Luton Town	Draw	West Ham United
49.59% ( 0)	25.26% ( -0.02)	25.15% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 51.18% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.37% (

0.08)

51.62% (

-0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.59% (

0.07)

73.41% (

-0.07)

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.16% (

0.03)

20.83% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.49% (

0.05)

53.51% (

-0.06)

West Ham United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.65% (

0.05)

35.34% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.89% (

0.06)

72.1% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Luton Town 49.58%

West Ham United 25.15%

Draw 25.26%

Luton Town	Draw	West Ham United
1-0 @ 11.54% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.42% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.06% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.93% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.74% 3-2 @ 2.56% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.93% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.86% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 2.54% Total : 49.58%	1-1 @ 12.01% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.36% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.9% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.99% Total : 25.26%	0-1 @ 7.66% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.25% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.98% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.17% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.38% ( 0) Other @ 2.02% Total : 25.15%