Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 1

Aug 12, 2023 at 3pm UK

The American Express Community Stadium

Brighton
4 - 1
Luton

March (36'), Pedro (71' pen.), Adingra (85'), Ferguson (90+5')
Estupinan (7'), Mitoma (43')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Morris (81' pen.)
Andersen (51'), Kabore (59')

The Match

Match Report

Solly March, Joao Pedro, Simon Adingra and Evan Ferguson score the goals as Brighton & Hove Albion record a 4-1 win over Luton Town in their Premier League opener at the Amex.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Brighton & Hove Albion and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brighton & Hove Albion

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Brighton 1-1 Rayo Vallecano
Sunday, August 6 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

Luton Town

All competitions

Last Game: VfL Bochum 2-1 Luton
Saturday, August 5 at 12.30pm in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 50.98%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 24.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (9.01%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.

Result
Brighton & Hove Albion	Draw	Luton Town
50.98% ( -1.14)	24.49% ( -0.03)	24.53% ( 1.17)

Both teams to score 52.93% (

1.38)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.98% (

1.2)

49.02% (

-1.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.9% (

1.07)

71.1% (

-1.07)

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.77% (

0.01)

19.23% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.06% (

0.02)

50.94% (

-0.02)

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.54% (

1.7)

34.46% (

-1.7)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.82% (

1.77)

71.17% (

-1.77)

Score Analysis

Brighton & Hove Albion 50.97%

Luton Town 24.53%

Draw 24.49%

Brighton & Hove Albion	Draw	Luton Town
1-0 @ 10.92% ( -0.54) 2-1 @ 9.6% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.01% ( -0.44) 3-1 @ 5.27% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.95% ( -0.24) 3-2 @ 2.81% ( 0.12) 4-1 @ 2.17% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.04% ( -0.1) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.05% Total : 50.97%	1-1 @ 11.64% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.63% ( -0.33) 2-2 @ 5.11% ( 0.22) 3-3 @ 1% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.49%	0-1 @ 7.06% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.2% ( 0.27) 0-2 @ 3.76% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.19) 2-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.16) 0-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.12) Other @ 2.16% Total : 24.53%