

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 71.85%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 10.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.05%) and 3-0 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.29%), while for a Southampton win it was 0-1 (3.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Brighton & Hove Albion in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Brighton & Hove Albion.
| Result | ||
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Draw | Southampton | 
| 71.85% (  -0.2) | 17.43% (  0.17) | 10.72% (  0.03) | 
| Both teams to score 47.32% (  -0.5) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 58.2% (  -0.7) | 41.79% (  0.7) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 35.8% (  -0.71) | 64.2% (  0.71) | 
| Brighton & Hove Albion Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 89.71% (  -0.24) | 10.29% (  0.23) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 66.3% (  -0.54) | 33.69% (  0.54) | 
| Southampton Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 52.75% (  -0.41) | 47.25% (  0.41) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 17.32% (  -0.31) | 82.68% (  0.31) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Draw | Southampton | 
| 2-0 @ 12.57% (  0.15) 1-0 @ 11.05% (  0.24) 3-0 @ 9.53% (  0.02) 2-1 @ 9.43% 3-1 @ 7.14% (  -0.07) 4-0 @ 5.42% (  -0.05) 4-1 @ 4.06% (  -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.68% (  -0.06) 5-0 @ 2.46% (  -0.05) 5-1 @ 1.85% (  -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.52% (  -0.05) 6-0 @ 0.93% (  -0.03) Other @ 3.2% Total : 71.84% | 1-1 @ 8.29% (  0.08) 0-0 @ 4.86% (  0.15) 2-2 @ 3.53% (  -0.04) Other @ 0.75% Total : 17.43% | 0-1 @ 3.65% (  0.07) 1-2 @ 3.11% (  -0) 0-2 @ 1.37% (  0.01) Other @ 2.6% Total : 10.72% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 94 | 33 | 61 | 89 | 
| 2 | Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 88 | 43 | 45 | 84 | 
| 3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 23 | 6 | 9 | 58 | 43 | 15 | 75 | 
| 4 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 68 | 33 | 35 | 71 | 
| 5 | Liverpool | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 75 | 47 | 28 | 67 | 
| 6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 18 | 8 | 12 | 72 | 53 | 19 | 62 | 
| 7 | Aston Villa | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 61 | 
| 8 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 70 | 63 | 7 | 60 | 
| 9 | Brentford | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 59 | 
| 10 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 55 | 53 | 2 | 52 | 
| 11 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 45 | 
| 12 | Chelsea | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 44 | 
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 58 | -27 | 41 | 
| 14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 40 | 
| 15 | Bournemouth | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 37 | 71 | -34 | 39 | 
| 16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 68 | -30 | 38 | 
| 17 | Everton | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 34 | 57 | -23 | 36 | 
| R | Leicester CityLeicester | 38 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 51 | 68 | -17 | 34 | 
| R | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 48 | 78 | -30 | 31 | 
| R | Southampton | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 36 | 73 | -37 | 25 | 
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