

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 69.62%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 12.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.62%) and 0-1 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.12%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 2-1 (3.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nottingham Forest | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion | 
| 12.88% (  -0.04) | 17.5% (  0.06) | 69.62% (  -0.02) | 
| Both teams to score 54.5% (  -0.39) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 63.84% (  -0.43) | 36.15% (  0.43) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 41.73% (  -0.47) | 58.27% (  0.47) | 
| Nottingham Forest Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 60.11% (  -0.35) | 39.88% (  0.35) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 23.45% (  -0.32) | 76.54% (  0.32) | 
| Brighton & Hove Albion Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 90.65% (  -0.11) | 9.34% (  0.12) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 68.5% (  -0.27) | 31.5% (  0.27) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Nottingham Forest | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion | 
| 2-1 @ 3.73% (  -0.01) 1-0 @ 3.43% (  0.04) 2-0 @ 1.58% (  0) 3-2 @ 1.36% (  -0.02) 3-1 @ 1.14% (  -0.01) Other @ 1.65% Total : 12.88% | 1-1 @ 8.12% (  0.05) 2-2 @ 4.42% (  -0.04) 0-0 @ 3.73% (  0.08) 3-3 @ 1.07% (  -0.03) Other @ 0.16% Total : 17.5% | 0-2 @ 10.47% (  0.12) 1-2 @ 9.62% (  0.01) 0-1 @ 8.84% (  0.14) 0-3 @ 8.27% (  0.05) 1-3 @ 7.6% (  -0.03) 0-4 @ 4.9% (  0) 1-4 @ 4.51% (  -0.04) 2-3 @ 3.5% (  -0.05) 0-5 @ 2.32% (  -0.01) 1-5 @ 2.14% (  -0.03) 2-4 @ 2.07% (  -0.04) 2-5 @ 0.98% (  -0.02) 0-6 @ 0.92% (  -0.01) Other @ 3.48% Total : 69.62% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 94 | 33 | 61 | 89 | 
| 2 | Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 88 | 43 | 45 | 84 | 
| 3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 23 | 6 | 9 | 58 | 43 | 15 | 75 | 
| 4 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 68 | 33 | 35 | 71 | 
| 5 | Liverpool | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 75 | 47 | 28 | 67 | 
| 6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 18 | 8 | 12 | 72 | 53 | 19 | 62 | 
| 7 | Aston Villa | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 61 | 
| 8 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 70 | 63 | 7 | 60 | 
| 9 | Brentford | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 59 | 
| 10 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 55 | 53 | 2 | 52 | 
| 11 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 45 | 
| 12 | Chelsea | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 44 | 
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 58 | -27 | 41 | 
| 14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 40 | 
| 15 | Bournemouth | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 37 | 71 | -34 | 39 | 
| 16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 68 | -30 | 38 | 
| 17 | Everton | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 34 | 57 | -23 | 36 | 
| R | Leicester CityLeicester | 38 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 51 | 68 | -17 | 34 | 
| R | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 48 | 78 | -30 | 31 | 
| R | Southampton | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 36 | 73 | -37 | 25 | 
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