Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 3

Aug 27, 2023 at 2pm UK

Turf Moor

Burnley
1 - 3
Aston Villa

Foster (47')
Cullen (39'), Berge (45+3')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Cash (8', 20'), Diaby (61')

The Match

Match Report

Matty Cash scores a brace to help free-scoring Aston Villa beat newly-promoted Burnley 3-1 in the Premier League at Turf Moor.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Burnley and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burnley

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Burnley 0-3 Man City
Friday, August 11 at 8pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Aston Villa

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Hibernian 0-5 Aston Villa
Wednesday, August 23 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 46.66%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 29.14% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-2 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Aston Villa in this match.

Result
Burnley	Draw	Aston Villa
46.66% ( 0.92)	24.19% ( 0.32)	29.14% ( -1.23)

Both teams to score 57.87% (

-1.87)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.65% (

-2.12)

44.35% (

2.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.28% (

-2.09)

66.72% (

2.09)

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.85% (

-0.47)

19.14% (

0.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.21% (

-0.78)

50.79% (

0.77)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.57% (

-1.89)

28.43% (

1.89)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.81% (

-2.44)

64.19% (

2.44)

Score Analysis

Burnley 46.67%

Aston Villa 29.14%

Draw 24.19%

Burnley	Draw	Aston Villa
2-1 @ 9.36% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 9% ( 0.68) 2-0 @ 7.44% ( 0.46) 3-1 @ 5.16% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.1% ( 0.2) 3-2 @ 3.24% ( -0.19) 4-1 @ 2.13% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.69% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.1) Other @ 3.21% Total : 46.67%	1-1 @ 11.31% ( 0.28) 2-2 @ 5.88% ( -0.26) 0-0 @ 5.44% ( 0.48) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.16) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.19%	1-2 @ 7.12% ( -0.2) 0-1 @ 6.85% ( 0.27) 0-2 @ 4.3% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.25) 2-3 @ 2.47% ( -0.25) 0-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.12) 1-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.14) Other @ 2.68% Total : 29.14%