The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Man City 3-2 Aston Villa
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Brentford | 38 | -8 | 46 |
| 14 | Aston Villa | 38 | -2 | 45 |
| 15 | Southampton | 38 | -24 | 40 |
Last Game: Burnley 1-2 Newcastle
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 17 | Leeds United | 38 | -37 | 38 |
| 18 | Burnley | 38 | -19 | 35 |
| 19 | Watford | 38 | -43 | 23 |
We said: Aston Villa 2-1 Burnley
Villa have not beaten Burnley at Villa Park since October 2010, but the home side have shown excellent form under Gerrard, and we are expecting a Villa victory on Saturday afternoon, albeit by a close scoreline. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 49.62%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 24.75%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.16%), while for a Burnley win it was 0-1 (7.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Aston Villa | Draw | Burnley |
49.62% ( 0.02) | 25.63% ( -0.01) | 24.75% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 49.71% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
