Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 60.09%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 17.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.92%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%), while for a Southampton win it was 0-1 (5.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.