Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 38

May 22, 2022 at 4pm UK

King Power Stadium

Leicester
4 - 1
Southampton

Maddison (49'), Vardy (74'), Perez (81', 90+6')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Ward-Prowse (79' pen.)
Romeu (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Leicester City and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leicester City

Last Six:

Last Game: Leicester 4-1 Southampton
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
7	West Ham United	38	9	56
8	Leicester City	38	3	52
9	Brighton & Hove Albion	38	-2	51

Southampton

Last Six:

Last Game: Leicester 4-1 Southampton
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
14	Aston Villa	38	-2	45
15	Southampton	38	-24	40
16	Everton	38	-23	39

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 57.29%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 21.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.7%) and 2-0 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.89%), while for a Southampton win it was 1-2 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result
Leicester City	Draw	Southampton
57.29% ( 0.24)	21.49% ( -0.16)	21.22% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 58.7% (

0.42)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.61% (

0.62)

39.38% (

-0.62)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.27% (

0.65)

61.72% (

-0.65)

Leicester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.42% (

0.28)

13.57% (

-0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.32% (

0.56)

40.68% (

-0.56)

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.92% (

0.27)

32.08% (

-0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.45% (

0.31)

68.55% (

-0.31)

Score Analysis

Leicester City 57.29%

Southampton 21.22%

Draw 21.49%

Leicester City	Draw	Southampton
2-1 @ 9.87% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.7% ( -0.16) 2-0 @ 8.68% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 6.57% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 5.78% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.74% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 3.28% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 2.89% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.87% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 1.31% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.46% Total : 57.29%	1-1 @ 9.89% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 5.61% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 4.35% ( -0.13) 3-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.22% Total : 21.49%	1-2 @ 5.62% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 4.95% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.51% Total : 21.22%