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May 11, 2022 at 7.45pm UK at King Power Stadium
Leicester
3 - 0
Norwich
Vardy (54', 62'), Maddison (70')
FT(HT: 0-0)
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Leicester City and Norwich City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Norwich 0-5 Spurs
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

We said: Leicester City 1-0 Norwich City

Leicester will again be missing a number of important players, but Norwich have selection issues of their own, and we are expecting the Foxes to pick up another three points, albeit by the narrowest of margins. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 66.05%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Norwich City had a probability of 13.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.81%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.75%), while for a Norwich City win it was 0-1 (4.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result
Leicester CityDrawNorwich City
66.05% (-3.512 -3.51) 20.6% (1.6 1.6) 13.35% (1.907 1.91)
Both teams to score 45.28% (0.671 0.67)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.96% (-2.246 -2.25)49.03% (2.241 2.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.88% (-2.065 -2.07)71.11% (2.061 2.06)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.99% (-1.715 -1.72)14.01% (1.71 1.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.46% (-3.474 -3.47)41.54% (3.469 3.47)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.66% (1.793 1.79)47.34% (-1.796 -1.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.25% (1.306 1.31)82.74% (-1.31 -1.31)
Score Analysis
    Leicester City 66.04%
    Norwich City 13.35%
    Draw 20.6%
Leicester CityDrawNorwich City
1-0 @ 13.03% (0.37 0.37)
2-0 @ 12.81% (-0.46 -0.46)
2-1 @ 9.58% (0.15 0.15)
3-0 @ 8.39% (-0.878 -0.88)
3-1 @ 6.28% (-0.311 -0.31)
4-0 @ 4.13% (-0.734 -0.73)
4-1 @ 3.09% (-0.367 -0.37)
3-2 @ 2.35% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.62% (-0.415 -0.42)
5-1 @ 1.21% (-0.234 -0.23)
4-2 @ 1.15% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 66.04%
1-1 @ 9.75% (0.748 0.75)
0-0 @ 6.63% (0.588 0.59)
2-2 @ 3.58% (0.232 0.23)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 20.6%
0-1 @ 4.96% (0.665 0.67)
1-2 @ 3.64% (0.447 0.45)
0-2 @ 1.85% (0.329 0.33)
1-3 @ 0.91% (0.151 0.15)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 13.35%

How you voted: Leicester vs Norwich

Leicester City
81.3%
Draw
12.7%
Norwich City
6.0%
166
Head to Head
Aug 28, 2021 3pm
Norwich
1-2
Leicester
Pukki (44' pen.)
Lees-Melou (25'), Cantwell (82')
Vardy (8'), Albrighton (76')
Albrighton (69')

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