The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Patronato and Tigre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: C. Cordoba 1-3 Patronato
Friday, July 15 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division
Friday, July 15 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 25 | Platense | 13 | -10 | 10 |
| 26 | Patronato | 12 | -13 | 10 |
| 27 | Talleres | 13 | -13 | 8 |
Last Game: Tigre 2-1 Estudiantes
Sunday, July 17 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
Sunday, July 17 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Newell's Old Boys | 12 | 3 | 20 |
| 9 | Tigre | 12 | 7 | 19 |
| 10 | Argentinos Juniors | 12 | 3 | 19 |
We said: Patronato 1-2 Tigre
The two teams are amongst the highest scorers so far, so we tip both of them to get on the scoresheet in this one. That said, we just about fancy Tigre to scrape a narrow victory come the sound of the final whistle. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Patronato win with a probability of 36.19%. A win for Tigre had a probability of 35.75% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Patronato win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.75%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Tigre win was 0-1 (11.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Patronato in this match.
| Result | ||
| Patronato | Draw | Tigre |
36.19% ( -8.07) | 28.07% ( 0.86) | 35.75% ( 7.22) |
| Both teams to score 47.6% ( -0.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
