The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Monday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Patronato and Independiente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sarmiento 3-1 Patronato
Sunday, June 19 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Sunday, June 19 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 25 | Platense | 13 | -10 | 10 |
| 26 | Patronato | 12 | -13 | 10 |
| 27 | Talleres | 13 | -13 | 8 |
Last Game: Independiente 2-1 Estudiantes
Tuesday, June 21 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Tuesday, June 21 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 19 | Arsenal Sarandi | 12 | 0 | 13 |
| 20 | Independiente | 13 | -4 | 13 |
| 21 | Velez Sarsfield | 12 | -2 | 12 |
We said: Patronato 1-2 Independiente
Although Independiente have failed to win their opening two away league games, they have prevailed in their last two meetings with Patronato, and we think they will take confidence from those results to claim a narrow victory on Monday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 39.93%. A win for Patronato had a probability of 31.85% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.14%) and 0-2 (7.6%). The likeliest Patronato win was 1-0 (10.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Patronato | Draw | Independiente |
31.85% ( -0.33) | 28.21% ( 0.53) | 39.93% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 46.6% ( -1.62) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
